The recent April 2 reveal of the First Semi-Final running order has crystallized trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's May 12 opener at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for 10 Grand Final spots. Frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") dominate bookmaker consensus with overwhelming implied qualification odds above 90%, buoyed by strong national final receptions, melodic hooks, and prime mid-show slots. Moldova's energetic opener Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") and Serbia's closer Lavina ("Kraj mene") show momentum, while underdogs like San Marino's Senhit face steeper paths. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts via staging reveals and vocal previews, amid geopolitical boycotts adding uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEurovision 2026: prima semifinale
Eurovision 2026: prima semifinale
$466,709 Vol.
12 mag 2026
Finlandia
98%
Svezia
98%
Grecia
97%
Israele
92%
Moldavia
88%
Serbia
80%
Croazia
77%
Lituania
69%
Montenegro
63%
Polonia
43%
Portogallo
39%
Georgia
38%
Estonia
36%
Belgio
28%
San Marino
18%
$466,709 Vol.
Finlandia
$334,114 Vol.
98%
Svezia
$2,911 Vol.
98%
Grecia
$5,029 Vol.
97%
Israele
$19,679 Vol.
92%
Moldavia
$11,747 Vol.
88%
Serbia
$6,229 Vol.
80%
Croazia
$7,975 Vol.
77%
Lituania
$2,899 Vol.
69%
Montenegro
$6,180 Vol.
63%
Polonia
$8,948 Vol.
43%
Portogallo
$34,645 Vol.
39%
Georgia
$2,182 Vol.
38%
Estonia
$6,915 Vol.
36%
Belgio
$9,885 Vol.
28%
San Marino
$7,370 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent April 2 reveal of the First Semi-Final running order has crystallized trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's May 12 opener at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for 10 Grand Final spots. Frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") dominate bookmaker consensus with overwhelming implied qualification odds above 90%, buoyed by strong national final receptions, melodic hooks, and prime mid-show slots. Moldova's energetic opener Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") and Serbia's closer Lavina ("Kraj mene") show momentum, while underdogs like San Marino's Senhit face steeper paths. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts via staging reveals and vocal previews, amid geopolitical boycotts adding uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$466,709Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent April 2 reveal of the First Semi-Final running order has crystallized trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's May 12 opener at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for 10 Grand Final spots. Frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") dominate bookmaker consensus with overwhelming implied qualification odds above 90%, buoyed by strong national final receptions, melodic hooks, and prime mid-show slots. Moldova's energetic opener Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") and Serbia's closer Lavina ("Kraj mene") show momentum, while underdogs like San Marino's Senhit face steeper paths. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts via staging reveals and vocal previews, amid geopolitical boycotts adding uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$466,709Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent April 2 reveal of the First Semi-Final running order has crystallized trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's May 12 opener at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for 10 Grand Final spots. Frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") dominate bookmaker consensus with overwhelming implied qualification odds above 90%, buoyed by strong national final receptions, melodic hooks, and prime mid-show slots. Moldova's energetic opener Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") and Serbia's closer Lavina ("Kraj mene") show momentum, while underdogs like San Marino's Senhit face steeper paths. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts via staging reveals and vocal previews, amid geopolitical boycotts adding uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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