Magnus Carlsen enters the Esports World Cup Chess Finals in Paris as defending champion and recent winner of the Chess.com Open and TePe Sigeman events, giving traders the clearest signal of current form in a 22-player field featuring rapid 10+0 time controls and double-elimination brackets. His 55.5% implied probability reflects that edge, yet the market remains bunched because qualifiers via the Champions Chess Tour, Speed Chess Championship, and last-chance events have produced a deep group including Nakamura, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, Lazavik, and Esipenko, each with proven head-to-head records and recent CCT points. Group-stage play-ins and short matches amplify variance, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance through the August 11–15 schedule.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMagnus Carlsen 55%
Denis Lazavik 37%
Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Alireza Firouzja 22%
Magnus Carlsen
55%
Denis Lazavik
37%
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Alireza Firouzja
22%
Aleksej Sarana
22%
Andrey Esipenko
22%
Nihal Sarin
22%
Hans Moke Niemann
22%
Arjun Erigaisi
22%
Sina Movahed
22%
Benjamin Bok
22%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
22%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
22%
Pranesh Munirethinam
22%
Wei Yi
21%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
20%
Magnus Carlsen 55%
Denis Lazavik 37%
Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Alireza Firouzja 22%
Magnus Carlsen
55%
Denis Lazavik
37%
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Alireza Firouzja
22%
Aleksej Sarana
22%
Andrey Esipenko
22%
Nihal Sarin
22%
Hans Moke Niemann
22%
Arjun Erigaisi
22%
Sina Movahed
22%
Benjamin Bok
22%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
22%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
22%
Pranesh Munirethinam
22%
Wei Yi
21%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
20%
If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen enters the Esports World Cup Chess Finals in Paris as defending champion and recent winner of the Chess.com Open and TePe Sigeman events, giving traders the clearest signal of current form in a 22-player field featuring rapid 10+0 time controls and double-elimination brackets. His 55.5% implied probability reflects that edge, yet the market remains bunched because qualifiers via the Champions Chess Tour, Speed Chess Championship, and last-chance events have produced a deep group including Nakamura, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, Lazavik, and Esipenko, each with proven head-to-head records and recent CCT points. Group-stage play-ins and short matches amplify variance, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance through the August 11–15 schedule.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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