Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli holds a slim trader consensus edge at 41.5% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year after back-to-back victories in China and Japan, highlighted by bold recoveries from P7 to P2 in Australia and P6 to the win at Suzuka despite a poor start, amplified by consecutive poles amid the 2026 regs' overtake surge. Tight competition persists with Valtteri Bottas (39.5%) demonstrating resilience for newcomer Cadillac through double finishes post-contact in early Grands Prix; Esteban Ocon (38.9%) and Haas teammate-leading overtakes in intense midfield battles; and Nico Hulkenberg (38.5%) excelling in wheel-to-wheel scraps at Sauber-Audi. New energy management and cars enabling 150% more passes keep probabilities bunched within 3%, reflecting widespread exciting onboard moments from the first three rounds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNico Hulkenberg 35.4%
Kimi Antonelli 34%
Max Verstappen 25%
Lance Stroll 23.1%
Nico Hulkenberg
35%
Kimi Antonelli
47%
Max Verstappen
37%
Lance Stroll
23%
Valtteri Bottas
22%
Charles Leclerc
18%
George Russell
11%
Lewis Hamilton
26%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Lando Norris
8%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Liam Lawson
10%
Esteban Ocon
20%
Franco Colapinto
-
Sergio Perez
32%
Nico Hulkenberg 35.4%
Kimi Antonelli 34%
Max Verstappen 25%
Lance Stroll 23.1%
Nico Hulkenberg
35%
Kimi Antonelli
47%
Max Verstappen
37%
Lance Stroll
23%
Valtteri Bottas
22%
Charles Leclerc
18%
George Russell
11%
Lewis Hamilton
26%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Lando Norris
8%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Liam Lawson
10%
Esteban Ocon
20%
Franco Colapinto
-
Sergio Perez
32%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli holds a slim trader consensus edge at 41.5% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year after back-to-back victories in China and Japan, highlighted by bold recoveries from P7 to P2 in Australia and P6 to the win at Suzuka despite a poor start, amplified by consecutive poles amid the 2026 regs' overtake surge. Tight competition persists with Valtteri Bottas (39.5%) demonstrating resilience for newcomer Cadillac through double finishes post-contact in early Grands Prix; Esteban Ocon (38.9%) and Haas teammate-leading overtakes in intense midfield battles; and Nico Hulkenberg (38.5%) excelling in wheel-to-wheel scraps at Sauber-Audi. New energy management and cars enabling 150% more passes keep probabilities bunched within 3%, reflecting widespread exciting onboard moments from the first three rounds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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