Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus in the F1 Action of the Year market at 51% implied probability, driven by his breakout 2026 rookie campaign with Mercedes that includes multiple consecutive Grand Prix victories, an early championship lead, and a dramatic late-race mechanical DNF at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after an overtake on teammate George Russell. This high-visibility setback, which handed victory to Lewis Hamilton, amplified attention around the young Italian’s season-long form and reliability issues under the new regulations. Nico Hulkenberg sits second at 34.4% on consistent midfield performances and veteran standout moments, while Arvid Lindblad at 28.3% reflects junior driver hype and potential breakthrough laps. Lower probabilities for drivers like Alexander Albon and Charles Leclerc track fewer headline-grabbing incidents relative to Antonelli’s dominant narrative. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighting recent on-track drama and season momentum over historical benchmarks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKimi Antonelli 44%
Arvid Lindblad 18.1%
Max Verstappen 5.7%
Lewis Hamilton 5.4%
$163,532 Vol.
$163,532 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
Arvid Lindblad
18%
Max Verstappen
6%
Lewis Hamilton
5%
Fernando Alonso
5%
Liam Lawson
3%
George Russell
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Charles Leclerc
19%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Carlos Sainz
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Kimi Antonelli 44%
Arvid Lindblad 18.1%
Max Verstappen 5.7%
Lewis Hamilton 5.4%
$163,532 Vol.
$163,532 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
Arvid Lindblad
18%
Max Verstappen
6%
Lewis Hamilton
5%
Fernando Alonso
5%
Liam Lawson
3%
George Russell
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Charles Leclerc
19%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Carlos Sainz
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus in the F1 Action of the Year market at 51% implied probability, driven by his breakout 2026 rookie campaign with Mercedes that includes multiple consecutive Grand Prix victories, an early championship lead, and a dramatic late-race mechanical DNF at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after an overtake on teammate George Russell. This high-visibility setback, which handed victory to Lewis Hamilton, amplified attention around the young Italian’s season-long form and reliability issues under the new regulations. Nico Hulkenberg sits second at 34.4% on consistent midfield performances and veteran standout moments, while Arvid Lindblad at 28.3% reflects junior driver hype and potential breakthrough laps. Lower probabilities for drivers like Alexander Albon and Charles Leclerc track fewer headline-grabbing incidents relative to Antonelli’s dominant narrative. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighting recent on-track drama and season momentum over historical benchmarks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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