Recent June 2026 jobs data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls rising just 57,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.2 percent, reflecting a cooling labor market amid slower hiring and a contracting labor force. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent in July, citing solid activity but elevated inflation and supply shocks, which has shifted some market-implied rate expectations higher and supported forecasts of unemployment drifting toward 4.8 percent by year-end. Traders monitor upcoming August employment figures and FOMC communications for signs of further softening or policy shifts that could influence the 2026 peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$472,279 Vol.
10 gen 2026
5,0%
10%
5,5%
6%
6,0%
9%
7,0%
7%
10,0%
2%
$472,279 Vol.
5,0%
$122,049 Vol.
10%
5,5%
$199,429 Vol.
6%
6,0%
$74,412 Vol.
9%
7,0%
$29,723 Vol.
7%
10,0%
$46,666 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent June 2026 jobs data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls rising just 57,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.2 percent, reflecting a cooling labor market amid slower hiring and a contracting labor force. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent in July, citing solid activity but elevated inflation and supply shocks, which has shifted some market-implied rate expectations higher and supported forecasts of unemployment drifting toward 4.8 percent by year-end. Traders monitor upcoming August employment figures and FOMC communications for signs of further softening or policy shifts that could influence the 2026 peak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$472,279Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent June 2026 jobs data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls rising just 57,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.2 percent, reflecting a cooling labor market amid slower hiring and a contracting labor force. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent in July, citing solid activity but elevated inflation and supply shocks, which has shifted some market-implied rate expectations higher and supported forecasts of unemployment drifting toward 4.8 percent by year-end. Traders monitor upcoming August employment figures and FOMC communications for signs of further softening or policy shifts that could influence the 2026 peak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$472,279Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent June 2026 jobs data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls rising just 57,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.2 percent, reflecting a cooling labor market amid slower hiring and a contracting labor force. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent in July, citing solid activity but elevated inflation and supply shocks, which has shifted some market-implied rate expectations higher and supported forecasts of unemployment drifting toward 4.8 percent by year-end. Traders monitor upcoming August employment figures and FOMC communications for signs of further softening or policy shifts that could influence the 2026 peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti