Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding steady near multi-year lows, with the June 2026 reading at 4.2 percent after 4.3–4.4 percent prints earlier in the year. Federal Reserve June projections place the 2026 annual average at a central tendency of 4.3–4.4 percent, reflecting resilient job gains alongside modest labor-force participation declines. Broader U-6 measures remain elevated above 7.9 percent, signaling pockets of underutilization, yet headline figures have not exhibited the sharp rise some earlier forecasts anticipated. The next Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 7 will provide fresh July data that could influence near-term trader positioning ahead of potential FOMC policy signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$472,076 Vol.
10 gen 2026
5,0%
10%
5,5%
6%
6,0%
8%
7,0%
7%
10,0%
1%
$472,076 Vol.
5,0%
$121,946 Vol.
10%
5,5%
$199,375 Vol.
6%
6,0%
$74,370 Vol.
8%
7,0%
$29,723 Vol.
7%
10,0%
$46,663 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding steady near multi-year lows, with the June 2026 reading at 4.2 percent after 4.3–4.4 percent prints earlier in the year. Federal Reserve June projections place the 2026 annual average at a central tendency of 4.3–4.4 percent, reflecting resilient job gains alongside modest labor-force participation declines. Broader U-6 measures remain elevated above 7.9 percent, signaling pockets of underutilization, yet headline figures have not exhibited the sharp rise some earlier forecasts anticipated. The next Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 7 will provide fresh July data that could influence near-term trader positioning ahead of potential FOMC policy signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$472,076Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding steady near multi-year lows, with the June 2026 reading at 4.2 percent after 4.3–4.4 percent prints earlier in the year. Federal Reserve June projections place the 2026 annual average at a central tendency of 4.3–4.4 percent, reflecting resilient job gains alongside modest labor-force participation declines. Broader U-6 measures remain elevated above 7.9 percent, signaling pockets of underutilization, yet headline figures have not exhibited the sharp rise some earlier forecasts anticipated. The next Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 7 will provide fresh July data that could influence near-term trader positioning ahead of potential FOMC policy signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$472,076Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding steady near multi-year lows, with the June 2026 reading at 4.2 percent after 4.3–4.4 percent prints earlier in the year. Federal Reserve June projections place the 2026 annual average at a central tendency of 4.3–4.4 percent, reflecting resilient job gains alongside modest labor-force participation declines. Broader U-6 measures remain elevated above 7.9 percent, signaling pockets of underutilization, yet headline figures have not exhibited the sharp rise some earlier forecasts anticipated. The next Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 7 will provide fresh July data that could influence near-term trader positioning ahead of potential FOMC policy signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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