Emmanuel Macron’s second term ends on May 13, 2027, with constitutional term limits barring re-election and no early-exit mechanism short of voluntary resignation. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections has produced multiple minority governments, repeated budget standoffs, and no-confidence votes, yet Macron has consistently stated he will complete his mandate. In 2026 he has concentrated on foreign policy, military spending increases, and appointments to key institutions ahead of the presidential transition. These structural and stated commitments keep any departure before mid-2026 at negligible trader-implied levels while leaving open the possibility that sustained gridlock or unforeseen events could alter timelines within the final year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2,004,251 Vol.
30 giu 2026
30 giugno 2026
1%
$2,004,251 Vol.
30 giugno 2026
$412,407 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron’s second term ends on May 13, 2027, with constitutional term limits barring re-election and no early-exit mechanism short of voluntary resignation. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections has produced multiple minority governments, repeated budget standoffs, and no-confidence votes, yet Macron has consistently stated he will complete his mandate. In 2026 he has concentrated on foreign policy, military spending increases, and appointments to key institutions ahead of the presidential transition. These structural and stated commitments keep any departure before mid-2026 at negligible trader-implied levels while leaving open the possibility that sustained gridlock or unforeseen events could alter timelines within the final year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volume
$2,004,251Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron’s second term ends on May 13, 2027, with constitutional term limits barring re-election and no early-exit mechanism short of voluntary resignation. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections has produced multiple minority governments, repeated budget standoffs, and no-confidence votes, yet Macron has consistently stated he will complete his mandate. In 2026 he has concentrated on foreign policy, military spending increases, and appointments to key institutions ahead of the presidential transition. These structural and stated commitments keep any departure before mid-2026 at negligible trader-implied levels while leaving open the possibility that sustained gridlock or unforeseen events could alter timelines within the final year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,004,251Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Emmanuel Macron’s second term ends on May 13, 2027, with constitutional term limits barring re-election and no early-exit mechanism short of voluntary resignation. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections has produced multiple minority governments, repeated budget standoffs, and no-confidence votes, yet Macron has consistently stated he will complete his mandate. In 2026 he has concentrated on foreign policy, military spending increases, and appointments to key institutions ahead of the presidential transition. These structural and stated commitments keep any departure before mid-2026 at negligible trader-implied levels while leaving open the possibility that sustained gridlock or unforeseen events could alter timelines within the final year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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