Meta's Mango, a frontier image and video generation model designed to rival OpenAI's Sora and Google's Veo, remains in advanced development following December 2025 reports targeting a first-half 2026 launch, with trader sentiment buoyed by recent commitments like CEO Mark Zuckerberg embedding himself with the AI team and hiring key OpenAI talent for data-center expansion. A March delay for companion text model Avocado due to performance shortfalls raised timeline concerns, but April confirmations of open-source variants for both Mango and Avocado—potentially announced at LlamaCon on April 29—have restored optimism amid competitive pressures from multimodal leaders. Watch for benchmark reveals or preview demos at the conference, as product timelines in AI often slip amid scaling challenges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMeta "Mango" model released by...?
Meta "Mango" model released by...?
$23,968 Vol.
June 30
69%
$23,968 Vol.
June 30
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's Mango, a frontier image and video generation model designed to rival OpenAI's Sora and Google's Veo, remains in advanced development following December 2025 reports targeting a first-half 2026 launch, with trader sentiment buoyed by recent commitments like CEO Mark Zuckerberg embedding himself with the AI team and hiring key OpenAI talent for data-center expansion. A March delay for companion text model Avocado due to performance shortfalls raised timeline concerns, but April confirmations of open-source variants for both Mango and Avocado—potentially announced at LlamaCon on April 29—have restored optimism amid competitive pressures from multimodal leaders. Watch for benchmark reveals or preview demos at the conference, as product timelines in AI often slip amid scaling challenges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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