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icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

34% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
34% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No four-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB season through mid-June, consistent with the historical rarity of the feat.** Only 21 players have achieved it across more than a century of play, with 2025 standing as a clear outlier that produced three instances—Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber—marking the first time any season had multiple such performances. In a typical year the event remains exceptional because it demands an unusually prolonged hot streak, favorable matchups against weaker pitching staffs, and often a hitter-friendly venue. Current 2026 roster health among top power threats, combined with the absence of early-season blowout games or record offensive outbursts, supports the market’s assessment that the probability stays below 30% for the remainder of the campaign. Late-season roster moves or prolonged slumps among elite sluggers could further reduce the chances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3
Data di fine
28 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No four-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB season through mid-June, consistent with the historical rarity of the feat.** Only 21 players have achieved it across more than a century of play, with 2025 standing as a clear outlier that produced three instances—Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber—marking the first time any season had multiple such performances. In a typical year the event remains exceptional because it demands an unusually prolonged hot streak, favorable matchups against weaker pitching staffs, and often a hitter-friendly venue. Current 2026 roster health among top power threats, combined with the absence of early-season blowout games or record offensive outbursts, supports the market’s assessment that the probability stays below 30% for the remainder of the campaign. Late-season roster moves or prolonged slumps among elite sluggers could further reduce the chances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3
Data di fine
28 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 26% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 26¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 26% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 28, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" è 26% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 26% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.