Skip to main content
Market icon

Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?

Market icon

Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?

250k+ 75%

175k-200k 5.6%

200k-225k 5%

<125k 2.8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

250k+ 75%

175k-200k 5.6%

200k-225k 5%

<125k 2.8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<125k

$109 Vol.

3%

125k-150k

$154 Vol.

2%

150k-175k

$160 Vol.

2%

175k-200k

$171 Vol.

11%

200k-225k

$165 Vol.

12%

225k-250k

$125 Vol.

2%

250k+

$347 Vol.

60%

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Noah Kahan's The Great Divide for over 250k first-week album sales at a 51.5% implied probability, propelled by the title track's blockbuster debut—190k US units, #1 on US Spotify with nearly 3 million streams, and sustained Adult Alternative Airplay dominance—building on Stick Season's multi-platinum trajectory and viral folk appeal. Recent catalysts include the April 13 Netflix documentary premiere boosting visibility amid sold-out Great Divide stadium tour presales and rumored high-profile collabs like Mumford & Sons, signaling superfan mobilization via multiple album variants. Lower tiers like 200k-225k trail at 11.5% as conservative hedges, with early tracking updates post-April 24 release poised to sharpen odds amid streaming volatility and competition.

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$1,230
Data di fine
1 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Noah Kahan's The Great Divide for over 250k first-week album sales at a 51.5% implied probability, propelled by the title track's blockbuster debut—190k US units, #1 on US Spotify with nearly 3 million streams, and sustained Adult Alternative Airplay dominance—building on Stick Season's multi-platinum trajectory and viral folk appeal. Recent catalysts include the April 13 Netflix documentary premiere boosting visibility amid sold-out Great Divide stadium tour presales and rumored high-profile collabs like Mumford & Sons, signaling superfan mobilization via multiple album variants. Lower tiers like 200k-225k trail at 11.5% as conservative hedges, with early tracking updates post-April 24 release poised to sharpen odds amid streaming volatility and competition.

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$1,230
Data di fine
1 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "250k+" a 60%, seguito da "200k-225k" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 60¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 7, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" è "250k+" a 60%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "200k-225k" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.