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NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

James Settelmeyer 48%

David Flippo 47%

Bill Conrad 2.6%

Doug Miller 2.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

James Settelmeyer 48%

David Flippo 47%

Bill Conrad 2.6%

Doug Miller 2.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

James Settelmeyer

$192 Vol.

48%

David Flippo

$132 Vol.

47%

Bill Conrad

$134 Vol.

3%

Doug Miller

$111 Vol.

2%

Jennifer Billat

$112 Vol.

2%

Bruce Grego

$88 Vol.

1%

Sherman Tylawsky

$82 Vol.

1%

Andrea Lowe

$286 Vol.

1%

Rick Shepherd

$109 Vol.

1%

Jesse Watts

$97 Vol.

1%

George Forbush

$82 Vol.

1%

Jerry Olsen

$112 Vol.

1%

Fred Simon

$119 Vol.

18%

Tom Doyle

$582 Vol.

1%

Mike Smith

$437 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat following longtime Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement has drawn a 13-candidate Republican primary field for Nevada’s 2nd District, scheduled for June 9, with early voting already underway. James Settelmeyer and David Flippo have separated as the leading contenders, with the former state Senate minority leader and rural rancher backed by institutional ties and the latter positioning as a Trump-aligned outsider after his prior run in the 4th District. The crowded ballot raises the prospect of vote splitting that sustains the current trader consensus of a near-tie, while the absence of a high-profile endorsement from President Trump or unified party support leaves room for last-minute shifts from campaign spending, turnout among rural and MAGA voters, or further consolidation among lower-polling names.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,675
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat following longtime Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement has drawn a 13-candidate Republican primary field for Nevada’s 2nd District, scheduled for June 9, with early voting already underway. James Settelmeyer and David Flippo have separated as the leading contenders, with the former state Senate minority leader and rural rancher backed by institutional ties and the latter positioning as a Trump-aligned outsider after his prior run in the 4th District. The crowded ballot raises the prospect of vote splitting that sustains the current trader consensus of a near-tie, while the absence of a high-profile endorsement from President Trump or unified party support leaves room for last-minute shifts from campaign spending, turnout among rural and MAGA voters, or further consolidation among lower-polling names.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,675
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "James Settelmeyer" a 48%, seguito da "David Flippo" a 47%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 48¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 25, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" è "James Settelmeyer" a 48%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "David Flippo" a 47%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.