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Elezioni·Primarie

NY-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Market icon
Elezioni·Primarie

NY-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Claire Valdez 77%

Antonio Reynoso 20%

Julie Won 4.9%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Polymarket

$89,453 Vol.

Claire Valdez 77%

Antonio Reynoso 20%

Julie Won 4.9%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Polymarket

$89,453 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$6,574 Vol.

77%

Antonio Reynoso

$6,138 Vol.

20%

Julie Won

$3,298 Vol.

5%

Lincoln Restler

$4,596 Vol.

<1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$24,348 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$5,740 Vol.

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$7,911 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Cabán

$6,556 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$24,293 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors New York State Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 76.5% implied probability to win the open NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on April 2 and support from Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, energizing the district's progressive base in Brooklyn and Queens. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso follows at 21.5%, bolstered by recent revelations of Queens County Democratic Party backing, Working Families Party nod, and Rep. Pat Ryan's March 19 endorsement, appealing to local establishment networks. NYC Councilmember Julie Won trails at 5.8% amid competitive fundraising. A January Data for Progress poll showed Reynoso ahead 28-24%, but fresh progressive momentum has driven the shift, with first-quarter FEC reports and additional endorsements looming as key catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$89,453
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors New York State Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 76.5% implied probability to win the open NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on April 2 and support from Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, energizing the district's progressive base in Brooklyn and Queens. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso follows at 21.5%, bolstered by recent revelations of Queens County Democratic Party backing, Working Families Party nod, and Rep. Pat Ryan's March 19 endorsement, appealing to local establishment networks. NYC Councilmember Julie Won trails at 5.8% amid competitive fundraising. A January Data for Progress poll showed Reynoso ahead 28-24%, but fresh progressive momentum has driven the shift, with first-quarter FEC reports and additional endorsements looming as key catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$89,453
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"NY-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Claire Valdez" a 77%, seguito da "Antonio Reynoso" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 77¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "NY-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" ha generato $89.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "NY-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NY-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è "Claire Valdez" a 77%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Antonio Reynoso" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NY-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.