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Politica·Primarie

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 15%

Cameron Kasky 2.0%

Yuh-Line Niou 1.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 15%

Cameron Kasky 2.0%

Yuh-Line Niou 1.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Brad Lander

$2,287 Vol.

83%

Dan Goldman

$1,279 Vol.

15%

Cameron Kasky

$798 Vol.

2%

Yuh-Line Niou

$591 Vol.

1%

Alexa Avilés

$888 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices former NYC Comptroller Brad Lander as an 82.5% implied probability favorite to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by progressive endorsements including April's 32BJ SEIU nod and earlier backing from Working Families Party and UAW Region 9A, capitalizing on backlash against incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman's $370,000 in AIPAC contributions this cycle and $1.7 million career pro-Israel donations. A March 23 "People's Pledge" challenge by Lander spotlighted dark money tensions, despite Goldman's Q1 fundraising lead and support from Gov. Hochul, Speaker Jeffries, and local clubs. Lander's grassroots strength in Brooklyn areas, where Goldman narrowly advanced in 2022, sustains his edge, though late polls or scandals could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,843
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices former NYC Comptroller Brad Lander as an 82.5% implied probability favorite to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by progressive endorsements including April's 32BJ SEIU nod and earlier backing from Working Families Party and UAW Region 9A, capitalizing on backlash against incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman's $370,000 in AIPAC contributions this cycle and $1.7 million career pro-Israel donations. A March 23 "People's Pledge" challenge by Lander spotlighted dark money tensions, despite Goldman's Q1 fundraising lead and support from Gov. Hochul, Speaker Jeffries, and local clubs. Lander's grassroots strength in Brooklyn areas, where Goldman narrowly advanced in 2022, sustains his edge, though late polls or scandals could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,843
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Brad Lander" a 83%, seguito da "Dan Goldman" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 83¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Nov 25, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Brad Lander" a 83%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dan Goldman" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.