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Elezioni·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elezioni·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Janelle Stelson 94%

Justin Douglas 3.6%

Jason Cass 3.0%

Michael Robinson <1%

Polymarket

$15,400 Vol.

Janelle Stelson 94%

Justin Douglas 3.6%

Jason Cass 3.0%

Michael Robinson <1%

Polymarket

$15,400 Vol.

Janelle Stelson

$4,380 Vol.

94%

Justin Douglas

$836 Vol.

4%

Jason Cass

$8,370 Vol.

3%

Michael Robinson

$926 Vol.

<1%

William Lillich

$889 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Janelle Stelson's 93.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary stems from her dominant Q1 fundraising haul of over $2.1 million, announced April 13, leaving her with $3 million cash-on-hand—dwarfing rivals ahead of the May 19 closed primary.** This reflects trader consensus on her name recognition from narrowly losing the 2024 general election to Rep. Scott Perry by less than 1 point, plus early DCCC "Red to Blue" backing positioning her as the strongest general election contender in this battleground district. Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas trails with recent local endorsements but faces an uphill battle on resources and electability attacks. Challengers like Jason Cass remain marginal. Upsets could arise from a debate breakthrough, Stelson scandal, or progressive turnout surge, though her financial edge makes shifts unlikely absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,400
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Janelle Stelson's 93.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary stems from her dominant Q1 fundraising haul of over $2.1 million, announced April 13, leaving her with $3 million cash-on-hand—dwarfing rivals ahead of the May 19 closed primary.** This reflects trader consensus on her name recognition from narrowly losing the 2024 general election to Rep. Scott Perry by less than 1 point, plus early DCCC "Red to Blue" backing positioning her as the strongest general election contender in this battleground district. Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas trails with recent local endorsements but faces an uphill battle on resources and electability attacks. Challengers like Jason Cass remain marginal. Upsets could arise from a debate breakthrough, Stelson scandal, or progressive turnout surge, though her financial edge makes shifts unlikely absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,400
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Janelle Stelson" a 94%, seguito da "Justin Douglas" a 4%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 94¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $15.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 3, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Janelle Stelson" a 94%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Justin Douglas" a 4%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.