Quantinuum's recent SEC filing for a U.S. IPO targeting $45–$50 per share, which implies a fully diluted market capitalization near $12.7 billion at the high end based on approximately 254 million shares outstanding, has anchored trader expectations around the $10B–$13B range. Prior private funding at a $10 billion pre-money valuation in September 2025 provides a clear benchmark, while 2025 revenue of $30.9 million against substantial net losses underscores the speculative premium investors assign to quantum computing technology amid broader sector enthusiasm. With multiple market cap buckets and the no-IPO-before-August-2026 outcome all trading near 39–40.5%, the closely contested probabilities reflect uncertainty over final pricing, share allocation, and closing timeline in the weeks ahead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuantinuum IPO Closing Market Cap
$13B–$16B 41%
$10B–$13B 40%
$22B–$25B 40%
No IPO before August 2026 40%
<$10B
39%
$10B–$13B
40%
$13B–$16B
41%
$16B–$19B
39%
$19B–$22B
39%
$22B–$25B
40%
$25B+
39%
No IPO before August 2026
40%
$13B–$16B 41%
$10B–$13B 40%
$22B–$25B 40%
No IPO before August 2026 40%
<$10B
39%
$10B–$13B
40%
$13B–$16B
41%
$16B–$19B
39%
$19B–$22B
39%
$22B–$25B
40%
$25B+
39%
No IPO before August 2026
40%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: May 27, 2026, 10:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Quantinuum's recent SEC filing for a U.S. IPO targeting $45–$50 per share, which implies a fully diluted market capitalization near $12.7 billion at the high end based on approximately 254 million shares outstanding, has anchored trader expectations around the $10B–$13B range. Prior private funding at a $10 billion pre-money valuation in September 2025 provides a clear benchmark, while 2025 revenue of $30.9 million against substantial net losses underscores the speculative premium investors assign to quantum computing technology amid broader sector enthusiasm. With multiple market cap buckets and the no-IPO-before-August-2026 outcome all trading near 39–40.5%, the closely contested probabilities reflect uncertainty over final pricing, share allocation, and closing timeline in the weeks ahead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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