Escalating tensions in Romania's ruling coalition have driven trader consensus to a 68.5% implied probability that Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan will depart office by December 31, 2026, as the largest partner, the Social Democratic Party (PSD), prepares to withdraw support following an internal party vote on April 20. PSD leaders, citing public dissatisfaction with economic policies and budget challenges, issued a 48-72 hour ultimatum, threatening mass ministerial resignations ahead of the government meeting on April 23 if Bolojan refuses to step down. The PNL leader firmly rejected resignation demands during a late-night party meeting on April 16, vowing a "shield" around his premiership amid mutual accusations of mismanagement, raising risks of a no-confidence motion, minority government, or snap coalition reset—though Bolojan survived a similar challenge in December 2025.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$20,424 Vol.
$20,424 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$20,424 Vol.
$20,424 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Escalating tensions in Romania's ruling coalition have driven trader consensus to a 68.5% implied probability that Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan will depart office by December 31, 2026, as the largest partner, the Social Democratic Party (PSD), prepares to withdraw support following an internal party vote on April 20. PSD leaders, citing public dissatisfaction with economic policies and budget challenges, issued a 48-72 hour ultimatum, threatening mass ministerial resignations ahead of the government meeting on April 23 if Bolojan refuses to step down. The PNL leader firmly rejected resignation demands during a late-night party meeting on April 16, vowing a "shield" around his premiership amid mutual accusations of mismanagement, raising risks of a no-confidence motion, minority government, or snap coalition reset—though Bolojan survived a similar challenge in December 2025.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Volume
$20,424Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Escalating tensions in Romania's ruling coalition have driven trader consensus to a 68.5% implied probability that Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan will depart office by December 31, 2026, as the largest partner, the Social Democratic Party (PSD), prepares to withdraw support following an internal party vote on April 20. PSD leaders, citing public dissatisfaction with economic policies and budget challenges, issued a 48-72 hour ultimatum, threatening mass ministerial resignations ahead of the government meeting on April 23 if Bolojan refuses to step down. The PNL leader firmly rejected resignation demands during a late-night party meeting on April 16, vowing a "shield" around his premiership amid mutual accusations of mismanagement, raising risks of a no-confidence motion, minority government, or snap coalition reset—though Bolojan survived a similar challenge in December 2025.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,424Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating tensions in Romania's ruling coalition have driven trader consensus to a 68.5% implied probability that Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan will depart office by December 31, 2026, as the largest partner, the Social Democratic Party (PSD), prepares to withdraw support following an internal party vote on April 20. PSD leaders, citing public dissatisfaction with economic policies and budget challenges, issued a 48-72 hour ultimatum, threatening mass ministerial resignations ahead of the government meeting on April 23 if Bolojan refuses to step down. The PNL leader firmly rejected resignation demands during a late-night party meeting on April 16, vowing a "shield" around his premiership amid mutual accusations of mismanagement, raising risks of a no-confidence motion, minority government, or snap coalition reset—though Bolojan survived a similar challenge in December 2025.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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