Russia's aggressive recent form, marked by its deadliest aerial barrages this year—including over 700 drones and missiles launched April 15-16 that killed at least 17 across Ukraine—has solidified trader consensus against a peace parlay at 84.5% No. Ukraine's defensive resilience, downing hundreds of projectiles amid frontline stalemates, underscores matchup dynamics favoring prolonged conflict over de-escalation. Stalled talks, following February's Geneva meetings without breakthroughs and a brief Easter prisoner swap marred by truce violation accusations, reflect zero incentive for Russia to concede amid claimed battlefield initiative. With no verified progress in the past 30 days, the wisdom of crowds prices slim upset potential for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$407,104 Vol.
$407,104 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$407,104 Vol.
$407,104 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRussia's aggressive recent form, marked by its deadliest aerial barrages this year—including over 700 drones and missiles launched April 15-16 that killed at least 17 across Ukraine—has solidified trader consensus against a peace parlay at 84.5% No. Ukraine's defensive resilience, downing hundreds of projectiles amid frontline stalemates, underscores matchup dynamics favoring prolonged conflict over de-escalation. Stalled talks, following February's Geneva meetings without breakthroughs and a brief Easter prisoner swap marred by truce violation accusations, reflect zero incentive for Russia to concede amid claimed battlefield initiative. With no verified progress in the past 30 days, the wisdom of crowds prices slim upset potential for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Mercato aperto: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$407,104Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRussia's aggressive recent form, marked by its deadliest aerial barrages this year—including over 700 drones and missiles launched April 15-16 that killed at least 17 across Ukraine—has solidified trader consensus against a peace parlay at 84.5% No. Ukraine's defensive resilience, downing hundreds of projectiles amid frontline stalemates, underscores matchup dynamics favoring prolonged conflict over de-escalation. Stalled talks, following February's Geneva meetings without breakthroughs and a brief Easter prisoner swap marred by truce violation accusations, reflect zero incentive for Russia to concede amid claimed battlefield initiative. With no verified progress in the past 30 days, the wisdom of crowds prices slim upset potential for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$407,104Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's aggressive recent form, marked by its deadliest aerial barrages this year—including over 700 drones and missiles launched April 15-16 that killed at least 17 across Ukraine—has solidified trader consensus against a peace parlay at 84.5% No. Ukraine's defensive resilience, downing hundreds of projectiles amid frontline stalemates, underscores matchup dynamics favoring prolonged conflict over de-escalation. Stalled talks, following February's Geneva meetings without breakthroughs and a brief Easter prisoner swap marred by truce violation accusations, reflect zero incentive for Russia to concede amid claimed battlefield initiative. With no verified progress in the past 30 days, the wisdom of crowds prices slim upset potential for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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