SpaceX is advancing Starship Version 3 hardware with integrated docking ports, drogues, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye navigation sensors to enable orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship transfer. Official updates outline a planned demonstration where one Starship launches as a propellant depot and a second tanker vehicle follows weeks later to dock and transfer fuel in low Earth orbit, a critical capability for Artemis lunar missions. As of mid-2026, no such docking has occurred, with the full test series targeted no earlier than late 2026 pending additional uncrewed flights, FAA licensing, and successful booster catches. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in iterative Starship progress but accounts for typical timeline slips common in complex orbital demonstrations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
$59,594 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre 2026
12%
31 dicembre 2027
61%
$59,594 Vol.
31 dicembre 2026
$38,807 Vol.
12%
31 dicembre 2027
$20,787 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX is advancing Starship Version 3 hardware with integrated docking ports, drogues, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye navigation sensors to enable orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship transfer. Official updates outline a planned demonstration where one Starship launches as a propellant depot and a second tanker vehicle follows weeks later to dock and transfer fuel in low Earth orbit, a critical capability for Artemis lunar missions. As of mid-2026, no such docking has occurred, with the full test series targeted no earlier than late 2026 pending additional uncrewed flights, FAA licensing, and successful booster catches. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in iterative Starship progress but accounts for typical timeline slips common in complex orbital demonstrations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$59,594Data di fine
31 dic 2028Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX is advancing Starship Version 3 hardware with integrated docking ports, drogues, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye navigation sensors to enable orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship transfer. Official updates outline a planned demonstration where one Starship launches as a propellant depot and a second tanker vehicle follows weeks later to dock and transfer fuel in low Earth orbit, a critical capability for Artemis lunar missions. As of mid-2026, no such docking has occurred, with the full test series targeted no earlier than late 2026 pending additional uncrewed flights, FAA licensing, and successful booster catches. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in iterative Starship progress but accounts for typical timeline slips common in complex orbital demonstrations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$59,594Data di fine
31 dic 2028Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX is advancing Starship Version 3 hardware with integrated docking ports, drogues, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye navigation sensors to enable orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship transfer. Official updates outline a planned demonstration where one Starship launches as a propellant depot and a second tanker vehicle follows weeks later to dock and transfer fuel in low Earth orbit, a critical capability for Artemis lunar missions. As of mid-2026, no such docking has occurred, with the full test series targeted no earlier than late 2026 pending additional uncrewed flights, FAA licensing, and successful booster catches. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in iterative Starship progress but accounts for typical timeline slips common in complex orbital demonstrations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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