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Elezioni·Primarie

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

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Elezioni·Primarie

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

Tom Sell 89.3%

Abraham Enriquez 8.1%

Ryan Zink <1%

Donald May <1%

Polymarket

$66,792 Vol.

Tom Sell 89.3%

Abraham Enriquez 8.1%

Ryan Zink <1%

Donald May <1%

Polymarket

$66,792 Vol.

Tom Sell

$45,177 Vol.

89%

Abraham Enriquez

$10,714 Vol.

8%

Ryan Zink

$1,269 Vol.

<1%

Donald May

$3,025 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Smith

$2,763 Vol.

<1%

Jason Corley

$1,200 Vol.

<1%

James Barbee

$2,645 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's commanding lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District, topping a seven-candidate field amid incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement, drives his 89% implied probability as traders bet heavily on his May 26 runoff victory over Abraham Enriquez, who finished second. Recent endorsements from eliminated primary rivals and State Rep. Carl Tepper, plus Sell's prior fundraising edge emphasizing West Texas agriculture and local priorities, have solidified trader consensus on his frontrunner status in this safe Republican seat. Enriquez, a national conservative and Trump ally, holds 8% amid limited momentum, though late scandals, voter turnout shifts, or campaign spending surges could narrow the gap before early voting starts mid-May. Other candidates' negligible odds reflect their primary defeats.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$66,792
Data di fine
26 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's commanding lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District, topping a seven-candidate field amid incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement, drives his 89% implied probability as traders bet heavily on his May 26 runoff victory over Abraham Enriquez, who finished second. Recent endorsements from eliminated primary rivals and State Rep. Carl Tepper, plus Sell's prior fundraising edge emphasizing West Texas agriculture and local priorities, have solidified trader consensus on his frontrunner status in this safe Republican seat. Enriquez, a national conservative and Trump ally, holds 8% amid limited momentum, though late scandals, voter turnout shifts, or campaign spending surges could narrow the gap before early voting starts mid-May. Other candidates' negligible odds reflect their primary defeats.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$66,792
Data di fine
26 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Tom Sell" a 89%, seguito da "Abraham Enriquez" a 8%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $66.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 6, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" è "Tom Sell" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Abraham Enriquez" a 8%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.