Bayern Munich's dramatic 4-3 second-leg victory over Real Madrid (6-4 aggregate) propelled Germany to a slim 31.5% implied probability edge, while Arsenal's resolute 0-0 draw at Sporting CP secured England's 30.5% share after advancing on aggregate. PSG's commanding 4-0 aggregate rout of Liverpool boosted France to 25.5%, underscoring their knockout prowess, as Atletico Madrid's gritty 3-2 aggregate survival against Barcelona lifted Spain to 11.5%. With semifinals pitting Bayern against PSG and Arsenal versus Atletico, trader consensus reflects razor-thin margins in these high-stakes clashes, balancing recent momentum, home advantage potential in legs, and historical knockout resilience amid no major injury disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUEFA Champions League: Home country of champion
UEFA Champions League: Home country of champion
Germany 32%
England 31%
France 26%
Spain 12%
$62,887 Vol.
$62,887 Vol.
Germany
32%
England
31%
France
26%
Spain
12%
Portugal
<1%
Germany 32%
England 31%
France 26%
Spain 12%
$62,887 Vol.
$62,887 Vol.
Germany
32%
England
31%
France
26%
Spain
12%
Portugal
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Champions League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 10, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Champions League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern Munich's dramatic 4-3 second-leg victory over Real Madrid (6-4 aggregate) propelled Germany to a slim 31.5% implied probability edge, while Arsenal's resolute 0-0 draw at Sporting CP secured England's 30.5% share after advancing on aggregate. PSG's commanding 4-0 aggregate rout of Liverpool boosted France to 25.5%, underscoring their knockout prowess, as Atletico Madrid's gritty 3-2 aggregate survival against Barcelona lifted Spain to 11.5%. With semifinals pitting Bayern against PSG and Arsenal versus Atletico, trader consensus reflects razor-thin margins in these high-stakes clashes, balancing recent momentum, home advantage potential in legs, and historical knockout resilience amid no major injury disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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