US-Iran diplomatic tensions escalated after 21 hours of direct talks collapsed in Islamabad on April 11 without a ceasefire or nuclear agreement, prompting President Trump to impose a naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan has offered to host a second round, with Trump stating on April 14 that negotiations could resume within days, potentially involving US special envoy Steve Witkoff, Vice President JD Vance, and others from the prior session alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Backchannel efforts via Pakistani intermediaries intensify amid economic pressures, though no recent high-level meetings with Russia, China, or Gulf states have materialized, keeping focus on US-led diplomacy before the April 30 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
$88,112 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Donald Trump
8%
J.D. Vance
71%
Marco Rubio
11%
Jared Kushner
71%
Steve Witkoff
83%
$88,112 Vol.
Donald Trump
$77,265 Vol.
8%
J.D. Vance
$3,397 Vol.
71%
Marco Rubio
$3,592 Vol.
11%
Jared Kushner
$885 Vol.
71%
Steve Witkoff
$3,094 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic tensions escalated after 21 hours of direct talks collapsed in Islamabad on April 11 without a ceasefire or nuclear agreement, prompting President Trump to impose a naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan has offered to host a second round, with Trump stating on April 14 that negotiations could resume within days, potentially involving US special envoy Steve Witkoff, Vice President JD Vance, and others from the prior session alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Backchannel efforts via Pakistani intermediaries intensify amid economic pressures, though no recent high-level meetings with Russia, China, or Gulf states have materialized, keeping focus on US-led diplomacy before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$88,112Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic tensions escalated after 21 hours of direct talks collapsed in Islamabad on April 11 without a ceasefire or nuclear agreement, prompting President Trump to impose a naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan has offered to host a second round, with Trump stating on April 14 that negotiations could resume within days, potentially involving US special envoy Steve Witkoff, Vice President JD Vance, and others from the prior session alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Backchannel efforts via Pakistani intermediaries intensify amid economic pressures, though no recent high-level meetings with Russia, China, or Gulf states have materialized, keeping focus on US-led diplomacy before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$88,112Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic tensions escalated after 21 hours of direct talks collapsed in Islamabad on April 11 without a ceasefire or nuclear agreement, prompting President Trump to impose a naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan has offered to host a second round, with Trump stating on April 14 that negotiations could resume within days, potentially involving US special envoy Steve Witkoff, Vice President JD Vance, and others from the prior session alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Backchannel efforts via Pakistani intermediaries intensify amid economic pressures, though no recent high-level meetings with Russia, China, or Gulf states have materialized, keeping focus on US-led diplomacy before the April 30 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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