Following inconclusive direct talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf under Pakistani mediation, diplomats are advancing a second round amid a fragile two-week ceasefire in the six-week U.S.-Iran conflict. President Trump voiced optimism for negotiations within days, as reported April 14-15, while sticking points persist on nuclear enrichment curbs, IAEA inspections, sanctions relief, and unrestricted Strait of Hormuz shipping. Pakistan proposes hosting further sessions soon, shaping trader assessments of which U.S. representatives will physically engage Iranian officials before the April 30 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
$98,132 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Donald Trump
7%
J.D. Vance
75%
Marco Rubio
13%
Jared Kushner
73%
Steve Witkoff
82%
$98,132 Vol.
Donald Trump
$85,020 Vol.
7%
J.D. Vance
$5,494 Vol.
75%
Marco Rubio
$3,685 Vol.
13%
Jared Kushner
$1,245 Vol.
73%
Steve Witkoff
$3,216 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following inconclusive direct talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf under Pakistani mediation, diplomats are advancing a second round amid a fragile two-week ceasefire in the six-week U.S.-Iran conflict. President Trump voiced optimism for negotiations within days, as reported April 14-15, while sticking points persist on nuclear enrichment curbs, IAEA inspections, sanctions relief, and unrestricted Strait of Hormuz shipping. Pakistan proposes hosting further sessions soon, shaping trader assessments of which U.S. representatives will physically engage Iranian officials before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$98,132Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following inconclusive direct talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf under Pakistani mediation, diplomats are advancing a second round amid a fragile two-week ceasefire in the six-week U.S.-Iran conflict. President Trump voiced optimism for negotiations within days, as reported April 14-15, while sticking points persist on nuclear enrichment curbs, IAEA inspections, sanctions relief, and unrestricted Strait of Hormuz shipping. Pakistan proposes hosting further sessions soon, shaping trader assessments of which U.S. representatives will physically engage Iranian officials before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$98,132Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following inconclusive direct talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf under Pakistani mediation, diplomats are advancing a second round amid a fragile two-week ceasefire in the six-week U.S.-Iran conflict. President Trump voiced optimism for negotiations within days, as reported April 14-15, while sticking points persist on nuclear enrichment curbs, IAEA inspections, sanctions relief, and unrestricted Strait of Hormuz shipping. Pakistan proposes hosting further sessions soon, shaping trader assessments of which U.S. representatives will physically engage Iranian officials before the April 30 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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