**President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal surpluses, inflation reduction from triple to low double digits, and gradual exchange-rate liberalization within widening bands over formal dollarization.** Supported by a $20 billion IMF facility and U.S. swap lines, the government lifted most capital controls in 2025 and maintained a managed peso float while accumulating reserves, rather than enacting legislation to replace the peso with the U.S. dollar as legal tender or close the central bank. Low net international reserves, substantial 2026 external debt payments, and limited congressional support continue to favor the current stabilization path. Traders therefore assign very low probabilities to completion by mid- or end-2026, reflecting the absence of concrete steps and the focus on incremental reforms amid ongoing IMF reviews and budget timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$42,170 Vol.

31 dicembre 2026
4%
$42,170 Vol.

31 dicembre 2026
4%
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Mercato aperto: Jun 28, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal surpluses, inflation reduction from triple to low double digits, and gradual exchange-rate liberalization within widening bands over formal dollarization.** Supported by a $20 billion IMF facility and U.S. swap lines, the government lifted most capital controls in 2025 and maintained a managed peso float while accumulating reserves, rather than enacting legislation to replace the peso with the U.S. dollar as legal tender or close the central bank. Low net international reserves, substantial 2026 external debt payments, and limited congressional support continue to favor the current stabilization path. Traders therefore assign very low probabilities to completion by mid- or end-2026, reflecting the absence of concrete steps and the focus on incremental reforms amid ongoing IMF reviews and budget timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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