Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 78.5% implied probability that the 2028 presidential winner will be male, driven by early primary polling favoring men on both sides: JD Vance leads Republican surveys at 46-53%, with Marco Rubio second, while Kamala Harris tops Democratic polls at 31-41% but trails Gavin Newsom in general election hypotheticals amid lingering skepticism from her 2024 loss. Recent signals, like Harris's April 10 statement at the National Action Network convention that she's "thinking about" another White House bid, have not shifted odds significantly, as no female contender shows a clear path to Electoral College victory against a strong GOP bench. The 2026 midterms loom as a key test for party nominees and battleground dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$11,120 Vol.
$11,120 Vol.
7 nov 2028
Sì
$11,120 Vol.
$11,120 Vol.
7 nov 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 78.5% implied probability that the 2028 presidential winner will be male, driven by early primary polling favoring men on both sides: JD Vance leads Republican surveys at 46-53%, with Marco Rubio second, while Kamala Harris tops Democratic polls at 31-41% but trails Gavin Newsom in general election hypotheticals amid lingering skepticism from her 2024 loss. Recent signals, like Harris's April 10 statement at the National Action Network convention that she's "thinking about" another White House bid, have not shifted odds significantly, as no female contender shows a clear path to Electoral College victory against a strong GOP bench. The 2026 midterms loom as a key test for party nominees and battleground dynamics.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercato aperto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$11,120Data di fine
7 nov 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 78.5% implied probability that the 2028 presidential winner will be male, driven by early primary polling favoring men on both sides: JD Vance leads Republican surveys at 46-53%, with Marco Rubio second, while Kamala Harris tops Democratic polls at 31-41% but trails Gavin Newsom in general election hypotheticals amid lingering skepticism from her 2024 loss. Recent signals, like Harris's April 10 statement at the National Action Network convention that she's "thinking about" another White House bid, have not shifted odds significantly, as no female contender shows a clear path to Electoral College victory against a strong GOP bench. The 2026 midterms loom as a key test for party nominees and battleground dynamics.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$11,120Data di fine
7 nov 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 78.5% implied probability that the 2028 presidential winner will be male, driven by early primary polling favoring men on both sides: JD Vance leads Republican surveys at 46-53%, with Marco Rubio second, while Kamala Harris tops Democratic polls at 31-41% but trails Gavin Newsom in general election hypotheticals amid lingering skepticism from her 2024 loss. Recent signals, like Harris's April 10 statement at the National Action Network convention that she's "thinking about" another White House bid, have not shifted odds significantly, as no female contender shows a clear path to Electoral College victory against a strong GOP bench. The 2026 midterms loom as a key test for party nominees and battleground dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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