Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.3% implied probability for "No" on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the legal reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, while Woods' March 27 rollover crash and subsequent Florida DUI arrest constitute a state charge Governor DeSantis could theoretically address. Viral social media hoaxes falsely claiming Trump urged a pardon via Truth Social were swiftly debunked by Snopes and PolitiFact, with no official statements beyond Trump's expression of sympathy for his longtime golfing acquaintance. Absent federal charges or unprecedented intervention, traders view a "Yes" as implausible, though a surprise federal probe or political favor could theoretically shift odds in the remaining 2.5 months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$134,193 Vol.
$134,193 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$134,193 Vol.
$134,193 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.3% implied probability for "No" on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the legal reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, while Woods' March 27 rollover crash and subsequent Florida DUI arrest constitute a state charge Governor DeSantis could theoretically address. Viral social media hoaxes falsely claiming Trump urged a pardon via Truth Social were swiftly debunked by Snopes and PolitiFact, with no official statements beyond Trump's expression of sympathy for his longtime golfing acquaintance. Absent federal charges or unprecedented intervention, traders view a "Yes" as implausible, though a surprise federal probe or political favor could theoretically shift odds in the remaining 2.5 months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Volume
$134,193Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.3% implied probability for "No" on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the legal reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, while Woods' March 27 rollover crash and subsequent Florida DUI arrest constitute a state charge Governor DeSantis could theoretically address. Viral social media hoaxes falsely claiming Trump urged a pardon via Truth Social were swiftly debunked by Snopes and PolitiFact, with no official statements beyond Trump's expression of sympathy for his longtime golfing acquaintance. Absent federal charges or unprecedented intervention, traders view a "Yes" as implausible, though a surprise federal probe or political favor could theoretically shift odds in the remaining 2.5 months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$134,193Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.3% implied probability for "No" on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the legal reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, while Woods' March 27 rollover crash and subsequent Florida DUI arrest constitute a state charge Governor DeSantis could theoretically address. Viral social media hoaxes falsely claiming Trump urged a pardon via Truth Social were swiftly debunked by Snopes and PolitiFact, with no official statements beyond Trump's expression of sympathy for his longtime golfing acquaintance. Absent federal charges or unprecedented intervention, traders view a "Yes" as implausible, though a surprise federal probe or political favor could theoretically shift odds in the remaining 2.5 months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti