In the 2026 FIFA World Cup, traders assign just a 4.7% implied probability that any goalkeeper scores, reflecting the position's defensive priorities and the extreme rarity of such goals across tournament history. Goalkeepers primarily focus on shot-stopping and distribution rather than attacking set pieces or penalties, with only isolated past instances—often from spot kicks—occurring in senior international play. Early group-stage matches have featured standout saves and clean sheets but no keeper contributions to the scoresheet, reinforcing market conviction. Realistic paths to a goal remain limited to a successful penalty or direct free kick in a high-pressure situation, late-game desperation, or extra time, though these remain low-probability events given tactical norms and the expanded 48-team format.