The 2026 World Cup Group D remains tightly contested for second place, with the United States and Australia both sitting on three points after opening victories that have shaped early standings. Australia’s disciplined 2-0 win over Türkiye and organized defending position the Socceroos strongly, while Paraguay’s heavy defeat and Türkiye’s narrow loss leave them needing positive results in their June 19 matchup and final fixtures to close the gap. The co-hosts’ squad depth and home support favor them for the top spot, but the remaining schedule—coupled with potential swings in goal difference and results among the lower sides—keeps implied probabilities bunched. Trader consensus reflects this balanced group dynamic, where any outcome in the final rounds can shift second-place positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAustralia 100.0%
USA <1%
Paraguay <1%
Türkiye <1%
$94,541 Vol.
$94,541 Vol.
12 lug 2026
USA
No
Australia
Yes
Paraguay
No
Türkiye
No
Australia 100.0%
USA <1%
Paraguay <1%
Türkiye <1%
$94,541 Vol.
$94,541 Vol.
12 lug 2026
USA
$4,775 Vol.
No
Australia
$68,630 Vol.
Yes
Paraguay
$16,354 Vol.
No
Türkiye
$4,782 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Group D remains tightly contested for second place, with the United States and Australia both sitting on three points after opening victories that have shaped early standings. Australia’s disciplined 2-0 win over Türkiye and organized defending position the Socceroos strongly, while Paraguay’s heavy defeat and Türkiye’s narrow loss leave them needing positive results in their June 19 matchup and final fixtures to close the gap. The co-hosts’ squad depth and home support favor them for the top spot, but the remaining schedule—coupled with potential swings in goal difference and results among the lower sides—keeps implied probabilities bunched. Trader consensus reflects this balanced group dynamic, where any outcome in the final rounds can shift second-place positioning.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Volume
$94,541Data di fine
12 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Group D remains tightly contested for second place, with the United States and Australia both sitting on three points after opening victories that have shaped early standings. Australia’s disciplined 2-0 win over Türkiye and organized defending position the Socceroos strongly, while Paraguay’s heavy defeat and Türkiye’s narrow loss leave them needing positive results in their June 19 matchup and final fixtures to close the gap. The co-hosts’ squad depth and home support favor them for the top spot, but the remaining schedule—coupled with potential swings in goal difference and results among the lower sides—keeps implied probabilities bunched. Trader consensus reflects this balanced group dynamic, where any outcome in the final rounds can shift second-place positioning.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$94,541Data di fine
12 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The 2026 World Cup Group D remains tightly contested for second place, with the United States and Australia both sitting on three points after opening victories that have shaped early standings. Australia’s disciplined 2-0 win over Türkiye and organized defending position the Socceroos strongly, while Paraguay’s heavy defeat and Türkiye’s narrow loss leave them needing positive results in their June 19 matchup and final fixtures to close the gap. The co-hosts’ squad depth and home support favor them for the top spot, but the remaining schedule—coupled with potential swings in goal difference and results among the lower sides—keeps implied probabilities bunched. Trader consensus reflects this balanced group dynamic, where any outcome in the final rounds can shift second-place positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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