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Sport·WSOP

Vincitore Evento Principale WSOP

icon for Vincitore Evento Principale WSOP
Sport·WSOP

Vincitore Evento Principale WSOP

Lucas Jumalon 31%

Rami Hammoud 15%

Michael Gagliano 10%

Jamie Shaevel 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Lucas Jumalon 31%

Rami Hammoud 15%

Michael Gagliano 10%

Jamie Shaevel 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Lucas Jumalon

$2,877 Vol.

31%

Rami Hammoud

$1 Vol.

15%

Jamie Shaevel

$0 Vol.

9%

Greg Mueller

$42 Vol.

9%

Michael Gagliano

$0 Vol.

10%

Mario Boos

$0 Vol.

8%

Lauri Saaskilahti

$1 Vol.

7%

Han Feng

$0 Vol.

6%

Evagoras Evagorou

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lucas Jumalon holds a commanding chip lead of 194 million heading into the 2026 WSOP Main Event final table, more than double his nearest rival, which underpins the slight 52.5% trader consensus edge reflected in current pricing. Rami Hammoud, Jamie Shaevel, Greg Mueller, and Michael Gagliano follow with stacks between 46-79 million, creating a competitive dynamic among the top contenders where skill edges, table position, and post-flop play can rapidly shift momentum. Smaller stacks like Mario Boos and Lauri Saaskilahti sit in the 22.5% range, while Han Feng and Evagoras Evagorou trail further behind at 7.5% and 5.5%. High variance in no-limit hold'em, combined with weeks until resumption, keeps implied probabilities closely bunched despite the chip disparity.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada.

If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,922
Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lucas Jumalon holds a commanding chip lead of 194 million heading into the 2026 WSOP Main Event final table, more than double his nearest rival, which underpins the slight 52.5% trader consensus edge reflected in current pricing. Rami Hammoud, Jamie Shaevel, Greg Mueller, and Michael Gagliano follow with stacks between 46-79 million, creating a competitive dynamic among the top contenders where skill edges, table position, and post-flop play can rapidly shift momentum. Smaller stacks like Mario Boos and Lauri Saaskilahti sit in the 22.5% range, while Han Feng and Evagoras Evagorou trail further behind at 7.5% and 5.5%. High variance in no-limit hold'em, combined with weeks until resumption, keeps implied probabilities closely bunched despite the chip disparity.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada.

If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,922
Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore Evento Principale WSOP" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lucas Jumalon" a 31%, seguito da "Rami Hammoud" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 31¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 31% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore Evento Principale WSOP" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore Evento Principale WSOP", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore Evento Principale WSOP" è "Lucas Jumalon" a 31%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 31% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Rami Hammoud" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore Evento Principale WSOP" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.