xAI's Grok models currently trail OpenAI's GPT-5 series on the FrontierMath benchmark, where GPT-5.4 leads at 47.6% accuracy on expert-level math problems including unsolved research challenges, while Grok-4 scored around 14-20% on tiers 1-3 per Epoch AI evaluations. Recent Grok 4.20 release in early 2026 has topped instruction-following (IFBench 82%) and Arena leaderboards with multi-agent reasoning and a 2M-token context window, fueling optimism for math gains amid xAI's rapid iteration and 1GW Colossus training cluster. Competitive pressure intensifies as OpenAI pushes records like 31% on Tier 4; traders eye a potential Grok 5 rollout—rumored at 7 trillion parameters—before the June 30 deadline as the key catalyst for closing the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoxAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail OpenAI's GPT-5 series on the FrontierMath benchmark, where GPT-5.4 leads at 47.6% accuracy on expert-level math problems including unsolved research challenges, while Grok-4 scored around 14-20% on tiers 1-3 per Epoch AI evaluations. Recent Grok 4.20 release in early 2026 has topped instruction-following (IFBench 82%) and Arena leaderboards with multi-agent reasoning and a 2M-token context window, fueling optimism for math gains amid xAI's rapid iteration and 1GW Colossus training cluster. Competitive pressure intensifies as OpenAI pushes records like 31% on Tier 4; traders eye a potential Grok 5 rollout—rumored at 7 trillion parameters—before the June 30 deadline as the key catalyst for closing the gap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$19,331Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail OpenAI's GPT-5 series on the FrontierMath benchmark, where GPT-5.4 leads at 47.6% accuracy on expert-level math problems including unsolved research challenges, while Grok-4 scored around 14-20% on tiers 1-3 per Epoch AI evaluations. Recent Grok 4.20 release in early 2026 has topped instruction-following (IFBench 82%) and Arena leaderboards with multi-agent reasoning and a 2M-token context window, fueling optimism for math gains amid xAI's rapid iteration and 1GW Colossus training cluster. Competitive pressure intensifies as OpenAI pushes records like 31% on Tier 4; traders eye a potential Grok 5 rollout—rumored at 7 trillion parameters—before the June 30 deadline as the key catalyst for closing the gap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,331Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models currently trail OpenAI's GPT-5 series on the FrontierMath benchmark, where GPT-5.4 leads at 47.6% accuracy on expert-level math problems including unsolved research challenges, while Grok-4 scored around 14-20% on tiers 1-3 per Epoch AI evaluations. Recent Grok 4.20 release in early 2026 has topped instruction-following (IFBench 82%) and Arena leaderboards with multi-agent reasoning and a 2M-token context window, fueling optimism for math gains amid xAI's rapid iteration and 1GW Colossus training cluster. Competitive pressure intensifies as OpenAI pushes records like 31% on Tier 4; traders eye a potential Grok 5 rollout—rumored at 7 trillion parameters—before the June 30 deadline as the key catalyst for closing the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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