Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude by Anthropic at an 82.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, reflecting its current top-three positioning—often #2 or #3—behind ChatGPT at #1, as TurboTax's tax-season surge wanes post-April 15 filing deadline. Sustained downloads for AI assistants like Claude, ChatGPT (20.5%), and Google Gemini (20.5%) underscore robust adoption of large language model chatbots, with Claude benefiting from earlier 2026 publicity driving it to #1 in March amid competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. Daily chart volatility persists, but fading TurboTax (2.5%) and lower rivals like Netflix Game Controller (16.5%) and Meta AI (15.5%) solidify AI dominance; monitor overnight download trends ahead of tomorrow's snapshot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Claude by Anthropic 91%
Netflix Game Controller 33%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 30%
Google Gemini 20%

Claude by Anthropic
82%

Netflix Game Controller
33%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
30%

Google Gemini
20%

ChatGPT
19%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
3%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
Claude by Anthropic 91%
Netflix Game Controller 33%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 30%
Google Gemini 20%

Claude by Anthropic
82%

Netflix Game Controller
33%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
30%

Google Gemini
20%

ChatGPT
19%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
3%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude by Anthropic at an 82.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, reflecting its current top-three positioning—often #2 or #3—behind ChatGPT at #1, as TurboTax's tax-season surge wanes post-April 15 filing deadline. Sustained downloads for AI assistants like Claude, ChatGPT (20.5%), and Google Gemini (20.5%) underscore robust adoption of large language model chatbots, with Claude benefiting from earlier 2026 publicity driving it to #1 in March amid competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. Daily chart volatility persists, but fading TurboTax (2.5%) and lower rivals like Netflix Game Controller (16.5%) and Meta AI (15.5%) solidify AI dominance; monitor overnight download trends ahead of tomorrow's snapshot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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