Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic securing the #2 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store on April 17, reflecting its sustained high ranking after surging to #1 in late February 2026 amid superior large language model benchmarks like Opus 4.6 and user defections from ChatGPT over perceived quality declines. Currently holding #2 behind ChatGPT per App Store charts, Claude benefits from ongoing AI assistant adoption and iOS app enhancements for voice, coding, and multimodal inputs. Challengers like ChatGPT (11.5%), Meta AI (11.0%), and Netflix Game Controller (9.5%) show volatility—Netflix recently topped charts via game streaming promotions, while TurboTax (2.5%) fades post-April 15 tax deadline. Daily download fluctuations could shift positions before tomorrow's snapshot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Claude by Anthropic 86%
Google Gemini 30%
Netflix Game Controller 22%
ChatGPT 18%

Claude by Anthropic
86%

Google Gemini
30%

Netflix Game Controller
22%

ChatGPT
18%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
18%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
2%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
Claude by Anthropic 86%
Google Gemini 30%
Netflix Game Controller 22%
ChatGPT 18%

Claude by Anthropic
86%

Google Gemini
30%

Netflix Game Controller
22%

ChatGPT
18%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
18%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
2%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic securing the #2 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store on April 17, reflecting its sustained high ranking after surging to #1 in late February 2026 amid superior large language model benchmarks like Opus 4.6 and user defections from ChatGPT over perceived quality declines. Currently holding #2 behind ChatGPT per App Store charts, Claude benefits from ongoing AI assistant adoption and iOS app enhancements for voice, coding, and multimodal inputs. Challengers like ChatGPT (11.5%), Meta AI (11.0%), and Netflix Game Controller (9.5%) show volatility—Netflix recently topped charts via game streaming promotions, while TurboTax (2.5%) fades post-April 15 tax deadline. Daily download fluctuations could shift positions before tomorrow's snapshot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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