Javokhir Sindarov leads the 2026 World Chess Championship market at 70% implied probability due to his commanding 10/14 victory in the 2026 Candidates Tournament, the highest score in the modern double round-robin format, which secured the challenger spot with a round to spare. The Uzbek grandmaster has maintained elite classical form with a career-high rating near 2778 and strong recent results in rapid and blitz events. In contrast, defending champion Gukesh Dommaraju sits at 29.5% amid a sharp rating drop to around 2703 and multiple last-place finishes in 2026 classical events, including Norway Chess and the Chennai Grand Masters. Trader consensus reflects Sindarov's current edge in rating, momentum, and match preparation heading into the November-December title match in Geneva.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$67,585 Vol.
$67,585 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
70%
Gukesh Dommaraju
30%
$67,585 Vol.
$67,585 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
70%
Gukesh Dommaraju
30%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Javokhir Sindarov leads the 2026 World Chess Championship market at 70% implied probability due to his commanding 10/14 victory in the 2026 Candidates Tournament, the highest score in the modern double round-robin format, which secured the challenger spot with a round to spare. The Uzbek grandmaster has maintained elite classical form with a career-high rating near 2778 and strong recent results in rapid and blitz events. In contrast, defending champion Gukesh Dommaraju sits at 29.5% amid a sharp rating drop to around 2703 and multiple last-place finishes in 2026 classical events, including Norway Chess and the Chennai Grand Masters. Trader consensus reflects Sindarov's current edge in rating, momentum, and match preparation heading into the November-December title match in Geneva.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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