Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73% implied probability for no change in Banxico's policy rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's contentious 3-2 vote to cut 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation. March CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year from 4.02% in February—driven by non-core pressures—pushing prices further above the 3% target midpoint and prompting Governor comments that the easing cycle is nearing completion. Core inflation held steady, but the inflation spike has tempered cut expectations, with a 26.5% chance of further easing and hikes near zero. Traders eye April CPI data this week for potential shifts ahead of the decision.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日据え置き 73%
利下げ 27%
利上げ <1%
$53,935 Vol.
$53,935 Vol.
利下げ
27%
据え置き
73%
利上げ
1%
据え置き 73%
利下げ 27%
利上げ <1%
$53,935 Vol.
$53,935 Vol.
利下げ
27%
据え置き
73%
利上げ
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73% implied probability for no change in Banxico's policy rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's contentious 3-2 vote to cut 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation. March CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year from 4.02% in February—driven by non-core pressures—pushing prices further above the 3% target midpoint and prompting Governor comments that the easing cycle is nearing completion. Core inflation held steady, but the inflation spike has tempered cut expectations, with a 26.5% chance of further easing and hikes near zero. Traders eye April CPI data this week for potential shifts ahead of the decision.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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