Patrick Mahomes' ongoing recovery from a torn ACL suffered in December 2025 has created significant uncertainty for his Week 1 availability in the 2026 NFL season, positioning him at 45.5% implied probability as traders weigh rehab timelines against his history of rapid returns. The Chiefs' March 16 trade acquiring Justin Fields from the Jets for a 2027 sixth-round pick, with Kansas City absorbing $3 million of his guaranteed salary, elevates Fields to 26% as a mobile, proven backup endorsed by Andy Reid as capable of starting and winning games if needed. Depth chart options like practice squad standout Chris Oladokun (3.5%) trail veteran free agents Gardner Minshew (7.8%) and Joe Flacco (7.4%), reflecting trader consensus on injury risk and contingency planning amid the February contract restructure that freed $43 million in cap space.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日パトリック・マホームズ 46%
ガードナー・ミンシュー 7.8%
ジョー・フラッコ 5.0%
クリス・オラドクン 3.6%
$12,169 Vol.
$12,169 Vol.
パトリック・マホームズ
46%
ガードナー・ミンシュー
8%
ジョー・フラッコ
7%
クリス・オラドクン
4%
ジャスティン・フィールズ
26%
パトリック・マホームズ 46%
ガードナー・ミンシュー 7.8%
ジョー・フラッコ 5.0%
クリス・オラドクン 3.6%
$12,169 Vol.
$12,169 Vol.
パトリック・マホームズ
46%
ガードナー・ミンシュー
8%
ジョー・フラッコ
7%
クリス・オラドクン
4%
ジャスティン・フィールズ
26%
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Patrick Mahomes' ongoing recovery from a torn ACL suffered in December 2025 has created significant uncertainty for his Week 1 availability in the 2026 NFL season, positioning him at 45.5% implied probability as traders weigh rehab timelines against his history of rapid returns. The Chiefs' March 16 trade acquiring Justin Fields from the Jets for a 2027 sixth-round pick, with Kansas City absorbing $3 million of his guaranteed salary, elevates Fields to 26% as a mobile, proven backup endorsed by Andy Reid as capable of starting and winning games if needed. Depth chart options like practice squad standout Chris Oladokun (3.5%) trail veteran free agents Gardner Minshew (7.8%) and Joe Flacco (7.4%), reflecting trader consensus on injury risk and contingency planning amid the February contract restructure that freed $43 million in cap space.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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