Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to "No" for looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) facing another arrest by April 30, driven by his quick bond release following a March 27 misdemeanor battery charge in Florida tied to a viral girlfriend altercation at an Airbnb rental. No fresh incidents have surfaced in the past week despite his history of 2026 arrests, including a February Scottsdale bar detention, and ongoing Florida Wildlife Commission probe into a streamed alligator shooting that could yield felony charges but hasn't prompted detention yet. Kick's recent ban may curb his high-risk streaming antics, bolstering trader confidence amid a month-long window, though court appearances or wildlife rulings pose upset risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
新規
新規
2026/04/30
新規
新規
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to "No" for looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) facing another arrest by April 30, driven by his quick bond release following a March 27 misdemeanor battery charge in Florida tied to a viral girlfriend altercation at an Airbnb rental. No fresh incidents have surfaced in the past week despite his history of 2026 arrests, including a February Scottsdale bar detention, and ongoing Florida Wildlife Commission probe into a streamed alligator shooting that could yield felony charges but hasn't prompted detention yet. Kick's recent ban may curb his high-risk streaming antics, bolstering trader confidence amid a month-long window, though court appearances or wildlife rulings pose upset risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$131終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to "No" for looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) facing another arrest by April 30, driven by his quick bond release following a March 27 misdemeanor battery charge in Florida tied to a viral girlfriend altercation at an Airbnb rental. No fresh incidents have surfaced in the past week despite his history of 2026 arrests, including a February Scottsdale bar detention, and ongoing Florida Wildlife Commission probe into a streamed alligator shooting that could yield felony charges but hasn't prompted detention yet. Kick's recent ban may curb his high-risk streaming antics, bolstering trader confidence amid a month-long window, though court appearances or wildlife rulings pose upset risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$131終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to "No" for looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) facing another arrest by April 30, driven by his quick bond release following a March 27 misdemeanor battery charge in Florida tied to a viral girlfriend altercation at an Airbnb rental. No fresh incidents have surfaced in the past week despite his history of 2026 arrests, including a February Scottsdale bar detention, and ongoing Florida Wildlife Commission probe into a streamed alligator shooting that could yield felony charges but hasn't prompted detention yet. Kick's recent ban may curb his high-risk streaming antics, bolstering trader confidence amid a month-long window, though court appearances or wildlife rulings pose upset risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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