Market icon

ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者

Market icon

ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者

ダニエル・エニス 72%

ジャニス・ボイラン 14.2%

レイ・マカダム 5.3%

ゲリー・ハッチ 4.6%

Polymarket

$43,090 Vol.

ダニエル・エニス 72%

ジャニス・ボイラン 14.2%

レイ・マカダム 5.3%

ゲリー・ハッチ 4.6%

Polymarket

$43,090 Vol.

ダニエル・エニス

$5,623 Vol.

72%

ジャニス・ボイラン

$0 Vol.

14%

レイ・マカダム

$0 Vol.

5%

ゲリー・ハッチ

$3,536 Vol.

5%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$0 Vol.

4%

ギリアン・シェラット

$33,930 Vol.

3%

セーアマス・マグラッタン

$0 Vol.

2%

ジョン・スティーブンズ

$0 Vol.

1%

ジャネット・ホーナー

$0 Vol.

<1%

マラキー・スティーソン

$0 Vol.

<1%

イアン・ノエル・スミス

$0 Vol.

<1%

メアリー・フィッツパトリック

$0 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
音量
$43,090
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ダニエル・エニス" at 72%, followed by "ジャニス・ボイラン" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者" has generated $43.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者" is "ダニエル・エニス" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ジャニス・ボイラン" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.