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icon for ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者
選挙·世界選挙

ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者

icon for ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者
選挙·世界選挙

ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者

ダニエル・エニス 100.0%

マラキー・スティーソン <1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%

ギリアン・シェラット <1%

Polymarket

$4,682,120 Vol.

ダニエル・エニス 100.0%

マラキー・スティーソン <1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%

ギリアン・シェラット <1%

Polymarket

$4,682,120 Vol.

マラキー・スティーソン

$47,618 Vol.

いいえ

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$1,276,548 Vol.

いいえ

ギリアン・シェラット

$538,659 Vol.

いいえ

レイ・マカダム

$75,537 Vol.

いいえ

イアン・ノエル・スミス

$59,318 Vol.

いいえ

セーアマス・マグラッタン

$1,193,064 Vol.

いいえ

メアリー・フィッツパトリック

$308,277 Vol.

いいえ

ジャネット・ホーナー

$40,751 Vol.

いいえ

ジャニス・ボイラン

$96,542 Vol.

いいえ

ダニエル・エニス

$96,553 Vol.

はい

ゲリー・ハッチ

$619,028 Vol.

いいえ

ジョン・スティーブンズ

$330,226 Vol.

いいえ

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis secured a commanding position in the Dublin Central by-election after topping first preferences on 22 May and demonstrating strong transfer support across subsequent counts, culminating in election on the ninth count with over 12,000 votes. The Social Democrats candidate benefited from his local council profile, favorable positioning relative to Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan in second place, and limited momentum for independents including Gerry Hutch. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these verified count outcomes and the ranked-choice voting dynamics that consolidated support behind Ennis. Official declaration by the returning officer remains the final step, though late procedural challenges or recount requests would represent the only narrow paths to any shift.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
音量
$4,682,120
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis secured a commanding position in the Dublin Central by-election after topping first preferences on 22 May and demonstrating strong transfer support across subsequent counts, culminating in election on the ninth count with over 12,000 votes. The Social Democrats candidate benefited from his local council profile, favorable positioning relative to Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan in second place, and limited momentum for independents including Gerry Hutch. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these verified count outcomes and the ranked-choice voting dynamics that consolidated support behind Ennis. Official declaration by the returning officer remains the final step, though late procedural challenges or recount requests would represent the only narrow paths to any shift.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
音量
$4,682,120
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ダニエル・エニス」で100%、次いで「マラキー・スティーソン」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者」は$4.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ダニエル・エニス」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マラキー・スティーソン」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ダブリン中央補欠選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。