Tallies from the May 22 Dublin Central by-election count indicate Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis holds a clear edge, with early figures showing him at roughly 20% on first preferences compared to Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan at 18%. Under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, Ennis stands to receive substantial transfers from eliminated left-leaning and independent candidates, including those from the Greens, Labour, and People Before Profit–Solidarity, widening his lead in later counts. Boylan leads among first preferences in a fragmented field that also includes independents such as Gerry Hutch, yet faces limited transfer prospects. These dynamics explain the market’s strong consensus on Ennis while leaving narrow room for shifts if final tallies or legal challenges alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダニエル・エニス 93.5%
ジャニス・ボイラン 5.2%
マラキー・スティーソン <1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%
$4,585,279 Vol.
$4,585,279 Vol.
ダニエル・エニス
94%
ジャニス・ボイラン
5%
マラキー・スティーソン
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
ギリアン・シェラット
<1%
レイ・マカダム
<1%
イアン・ノエル・スミス
<1%
セーアマス・マグラッタン
<1%
メアリー・フィッツパトリック
<1%
ジャネット・ホーナー
<1%
ゲリー・ハッチ
<1%
ジョン・スティーブンズ
<1%
ダニエル・エニス 93.5%
ジャニス・ボイラン 5.2%
マラキー・スティーソン <1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%
$4,585,279 Vol.
$4,585,279 Vol.
ダニエル・エニス
94%
ジャニス・ボイラン
5%
マラキー・スティーソン
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
ギリアン・シェラット
<1%
レイ・マカダム
<1%
イアン・ノエル・スミス
<1%
セーアマス・マグラッタン
<1%
メアリー・フィッツパトリック
<1%
ジャネット・ホーナー
<1%
ゲリー・ハッチ
<1%
ジョン・スティーブンズ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tallies from the May 22 Dublin Central by-election count indicate Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis holds a clear edge, with early figures showing him at roughly 20% on first preferences compared to Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan at 18%. Under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, Ennis stands to receive substantial transfers from eliminated left-leaning and independent candidates, including those from the Greens, Labour, and People Before Profit–Solidarity, widening his lead in later counts. Boylan leads among first preferences in a fragmented field that also includes independents such as Gerry Hutch, yet faces limited transfer prospects. These dynamics explain the market’s strong consensus on Ennis while leaving narrow room for shifts if final tallies or legal challenges alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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