Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats holds a commanding lead in the Dublin Central by-election following the May 22 vote to fill the vacancy created by Paschal Donohoe’s departure. Recent tallies place Ennis ahead on first-preference votes at roughly 20 percent, narrowly in front of Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan, with the remaining candidates well behind. Under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, expected preference flows from eliminated candidates have positioned Ennis strongly for the final count. Traders have priced this outcome at over 94 percent, reflecting the latest constituency data and historical transfer patterns in similar contests. A reversal would require significant shifts in remaining counts or unanticipated redistribution dynamics among lower-polling contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダニエル・エニス 94.2%
ジャニス・ボイラン 5.3%
マラキー・スティーソン <1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%
$4,534,315 Vol.
$4,534,315 Vol.
ダニエル・エニス
94%
ジャニス・ボイラン
5%
マラキー・スティーソン
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
ギリアン・シェラット
<1%
レイ・マカダム
<1%
イアン・ノエル・スミス
<1%
セーアマス・マグラッタン
<1%
メアリー・フィッツパトリック
<1%
ジャネット・ホーナー
<1%
ゲリー・ハッチ
<1%
ジョン・スティーブンズ
<1%
ダニエル・エニス 94.2%
ジャニス・ボイラン 5.3%
マラキー・スティーソン <1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%
$4,534,315 Vol.
$4,534,315 Vol.
ダニエル・エニス
94%
ジャニス・ボイラン
5%
マラキー・スティーソン
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
ギリアン・シェラット
<1%
レイ・マカダム
<1%
イアン・ノエル・スミス
<1%
セーアマス・マグラッタン
<1%
メアリー・フィッツパトリック
<1%
ジャネット・ホーナー
<1%
ゲリー・ハッチ
<1%
ジョン・スティーブンズ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats holds a commanding lead in the Dublin Central by-election following the May 22 vote to fill the vacancy created by Paschal Donohoe’s departure. Recent tallies place Ennis ahead on first-preference votes at roughly 20 percent, narrowly in front of Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan, with the remaining candidates well behind. Under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, expected preference flows from eliminated candidates have positioned Ennis strongly for the final count. Traders have priced this outcome at over 94 percent, reflecting the latest constituency data and historical transfer patterns in similar contests. A reversal would require significant shifts in remaining counts or unanticipated redistribution dynamics among lower-polling contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問