Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy prices higher, pushing euro-area inflation to 3.0 percent in April and prompting the European Central Bank to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2 percent on April 30. Staff projections now show 2026 headline inflation averaging 2.6–2.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, while first-quarter GDP growth slowed to just 0.1 percent. Economists at institutions including Morgan Stanley and the IMF have shifted from earlier cut forecasts to expectations of one or two 25-basis-point hikes later in the year. These developments have strengthened trader consensus reflected in current pricing that the ECB is unlikely to deliver any rate reduction through the end of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy prices higher, pushing euro-area inflation to 3.0 percent in April and prompting the European Central Bank to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2 percent on April 30. Staff projections now show 2026 headline inflation averaging 2.6–2.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, while first-quarter GDP growth slowed to just 0.1 percent. Economists at institutions including Morgan Stanley and the IMF have shifted from earlier cut forecasts to expectations of one or two 25-basis-point hikes later in the year. These developments have strengthened trader consensus reflected in current pricing that the ECB is unlikely to deliver any rate reduction through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$27,913終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy prices higher, pushing euro-area inflation to 3.0 percent in April and prompting the European Central Bank to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2 percent on April 30. Staff projections now show 2026 headline inflation averaging 2.6–2.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, while first-quarter GDP growth slowed to just 0.1 percent. Economists at institutions including Morgan Stanley and the IMF have shifted from earlier cut forecasts to expectations of one or two 25-basis-point hikes later in the year. These developments have strengthened trader consensus reflected in current pricing that the ECB is unlikely to deliver any rate reduction through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$27,913終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy prices higher, pushing euro-area inflation to 3.0 percent in April and prompting the European Central Bank to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2 percent on April 30. Staff projections now show 2026 headline inflation averaging 2.6–2.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, while first-quarter GDP growth slowed to just 0.1 percent. Economists at institutions including Morgan Stanley and the IMF have shifted from earlier cut forecasts to expectations of one or two 25-basis-point hikes later in the year. These developments have strengthened trader consensus reflected in current pricing that the ECB is unlikely to deliver any rate reduction through the end of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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