Recent Middle East tensions and associated energy price shocks have driven the ECB to revise its 2026 euro-area inflation forecast upward to 2.6 percent, with core measures also rising due to potential second-round effects. The Governing Council held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent in both its March and April 2026 meetings, emphasizing a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to any easing path. Subdued growth projections around 0.9 percent have been subordinated to price-stability risks, prompting money markets and economist surveys to price in at least one 25-basis-point hike instead. This combination of elevated inflation expectations and cautious official signaling underpins trader consensus that an ECB rate cut in 2026 remains unlikely absent a rapid reversal in energy costs or a sharper downturn.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$27,989 Vol.
$27,989 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$27,989 Vol.
$27,989 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East tensions and associated energy price shocks have driven the ECB to revise its 2026 euro-area inflation forecast upward to 2.6 percent, with core measures also rising due to potential second-round effects. The Governing Council held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent in both its March and April 2026 meetings, emphasizing a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to any easing path. Subdued growth projections around 0.9 percent have been subordinated to price-stability risks, prompting money markets and economist surveys to price in at least one 25-basis-point hike instead. This combination of elevated inflation expectations and cautious official signaling underpins trader consensus that an ECB rate cut in 2026 remains unlikely absent a rapid reversal in energy costs or a sharper downturn.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$27,989終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East tensions and associated energy price shocks have driven the ECB to revise its 2026 euro-area inflation forecast upward to 2.6 percent, with core measures also rising due to potential second-round effects. The Governing Council held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent in both its March and April 2026 meetings, emphasizing a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to any easing path. Subdued growth projections around 0.9 percent have been subordinated to price-stability risks, prompting money markets and economist surveys to price in at least one 25-basis-point hike instead. This combination of elevated inflation expectations and cautious official signaling underpins trader consensus that an ECB rate cut in 2026 remains unlikely absent a rapid reversal in energy costs or a sharper downturn.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$27,989終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East tensions and associated energy price shocks have driven the ECB to revise its 2026 euro-area inflation forecast upward to 2.6 percent, with core measures also rising due to potential second-round effects. The Governing Council held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent in both its March and April 2026 meetings, emphasizing a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to any easing path. Subdued growth projections around 0.9 percent have been subordinated to price-stability risks, prompting money markets and economist surveys to price in at least one 25-basis-point hike instead. This combination of elevated inflation expectations and cautious official signaling underpins trader consensus that an ECB rate cut in 2026 remains unlikely absent a rapid reversal in energy costs or a sharper downturn.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問