Traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities around 47% to several ISM Services PMI ranges for May 2026, reflecting broad uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. Recent April data showed a modest pullback to 53.6 amid softer new orders and employment contraction, while persistent Middle East conflict-driven spikes in energy and commodity prices have elevated the prices-paid index to multi-year highs. These factors, combined with resilient yet cautious consumer spending and mixed regional Fed services surveys, leave room for outcomes both below and above the 50 expansion threshold. Market-implied odds capture this dispersion in real-time trader consensus rather than any single forecast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日55.0以上 94%
50.0–50.9 47%
52.0～52.9 47%
48.0〜48.9 38%
新規
新規
2026/06/01
<47.0
22%
47.0～47.9
22%
48.0〜48.9
38%
49.0〜49.9
47%
50.0–50.9
47%
51.0～51.9
22%
52.0～52.9
47%
53.0〜53.9
42%
54.0～54.9
47%
55.0以上
94%
55.0以上 94%
50.0–50.9 47%
52.0～52.9 47%
48.0〜48.9 38%
新規
新規
2026/06/01
<47.0
$263 Vol.
22%
47.0～47.9
$89 Vol.
22%
48.0〜48.9
$89 Vol.
38%
49.0〜49.9
$89 Vol.
47%
50.0–50.9
$89 Vol.
47%
51.0～51.9
$89 Vol.
22%
52.0～52.9
$89 Vol.
47%
53.0〜53.9
$147 Vol.
42%
54.0～54.9
$89 Vol.
47%
55.0以上
$89 Vol.
94%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities around 47% to several ISM Services PMI ranges for May 2026, reflecting broad uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. Recent April data showed a modest pullback to 53.6 amid softer new orders and employment contraction, while persistent Middle East conflict-driven spikes in energy and commodity prices have elevated the prices-paid index to multi-year highs. These factors, combined with resilient yet cautious consumer spending and mixed regional Fed services surveys, leave room for outcomes both below and above the 50 expansion threshold. Market-implied odds capture this dispersion in real-time trader consensus rather than any single forecast.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
音量
$1,124終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities around 47% to several ISM Services PMI ranges for May 2026, reflecting broad uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. Recent April data showed a modest pullback to 53.6 amid softer new orders and employment contraction, while persistent Middle East conflict-driven spikes in energy and commodity prices have elevated the prices-paid index to multi-year highs. These factors, combined with resilient yet cautious consumer spending and mixed regional Fed services surveys, leave room for outcomes both below and above the 50 expansion threshold. Market-implied odds capture this dispersion in real-time trader consensus rather than any single forecast.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$1,124終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities around 47% to several ISM Services PMI ranges for May 2026, reflecting broad uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. Recent April data showed a modest pullback to 53.6 amid softer new orders and employment contraction, while persistent Middle East conflict-driven spikes in energy and commodity prices have elevated the prices-paid index to multi-year highs. These factors, combined with resilient yet cautious consumer spending and mixed regional Fed services surveys, leave room for outcomes both below and above the 50 expansion threshold. Market-implied odds capture this dispersion in real-time trader consensus rather than any single forecast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問