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icon for LA -05共和党予備選

LA -05共和党予備選

icon for LA -05共和党予備選

LA -05共和党予備選

ブレイク・ミゲズ 9%

マイケル・エコールズ 1.8%

オースティン・マギー 1.8%

リック・エドモンズ 1.4%

Polymarket

$43,240 Vol.

ブレイク・ミゲズ 9%

マイケル・エコールズ 1.8%

オースティン・マギー 1.8%

リック・エドモンズ 1.4%

Polymarket

$43,240 Vol.

ブレイク・ミゲズ

$21,804 Vol.

9%

マイケル・エコールズ

$10,677 Vol.

2%

オースティン・マギー

$1,285 Vol.

2%

リック・エドモンズ

$1,281 Vol.

1%

ミスティ・コーデル

$991 Vol.

1%

マイケル・メブルーア

$1,235 Vol.

1%

サミュエル・ワイアット

$5,966 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary features a fragmented field of seven candidates, with Blake Miguez holding the clearest early advantages through a Trump endorsement and dominant fundraising of roughly $4 million cash on hand. State Representative Michael Echols trails in resources but remains competitive, while Misti Cordell, Rick Edmonds, and others bring state-level experience or local ties. The race's low implied probabilities reflect the November 3, 2026, date—pushed back after a Supreme Court ruling altered the map—plus residency questions for some contenders and the potential for consolidation around the strongest fundraiser or endorsed name before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$43,240
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary features a fragmented field of seven candidates, with Blake Miguez holding the clearest early advantages through a Trump endorsement and dominant fundraising of roughly $4 million cash on hand. State Representative Michael Echols trails in resources but remains competitive, while Misti Cordell, Rick Edmonds, and others bring state-level experience or local ties. The race's low implied probabilities reflect the November 3, 2026, date—pushed back after a Supreme Court ruling altered the map—plus residency questions for some contenders and the potential for consolidation around the strongest fundraiser or endorsed name before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$43,240
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「LA -05共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブレイク・ミゲズ」で9%、次いで「マイケル・エコールズ」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「LA -05共和党予備選」は$43.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「LA -05共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「LA -05共和党予備選」の現在のリーダーは「ブレイク・ミゲズ」でわずか9%、「マイケル・エコールズ」が2%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「LA -05共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。