The crowded Republican field for Louisiana's 5th Congressional District remains fragmented, with no candidate exceeding single-digit implied probabilities amid high undecided shares in available polling. Michael Echols benefits from strong local name recognition as a Monroe-area state representative and substantial cash on hand, while Misti Cordell draws support as Board of Regents chair and a two-time Trump delegate with business experience. Blake Miguez held an early edge from a Trump endorsement and fundraising volume but faces criticism over residency outside the district. Recent Supreme Court redistricting rulings canceled the original May partisan primary in favor of a November 3 jungle primary, further complicating consolidation. Traders appear to price in the risk that endorsements, local ties, or campaign resources could shift support before voters narrow the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日LA -05共和党予備選
マイケル・エコールズ 8.5%
ミスティ・コーデル 3.7%
ブレイク・ミゲズ 2.6%
マイケル・メブルーア 1.8%
$63,600 Vol.
$63,600 Vol.
マイケル・エコールズ
9%
ミスティ・コーデル
4%
ブレイク・ミゲズ
3%
マイケル・メブルーア
2%
サミュエル・ワイアット
2%
リック・エドモンズ
2%
オースティン・マギー
2%
マイケル・エコールズ 8.5%
ミスティ・コーデル 3.7%
ブレイク・ミゲズ 2.6%
マイケル・メブルーア 1.8%
$63,600 Vol.
$63,600 Vol.
マイケル・エコールズ
9%
ミスティ・コーデル
4%
ブレイク・ミゲズ
3%
マイケル・メブルーア
2%
サミュエル・ワイアット
2%
リック・エドモンズ
2%
オースティン・マギー
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The crowded Republican field for Louisiana's 5th Congressional District remains fragmented, with no candidate exceeding single-digit implied probabilities amid high undecided shares in available polling. Michael Echols benefits from strong local name recognition as a Monroe-area state representative and substantial cash on hand, while Misti Cordell draws support as Board of Regents chair and a two-time Trump delegate with business experience. Blake Miguez held an early edge from a Trump endorsement and fundraising volume but faces criticism over residency outside the district. Recent Supreme Court redistricting rulings canceled the original May partisan primary in favor of a November 3 jungle primary, further complicating consolidation. Traders appear to price in the risk that endorsements, local ties, or campaign resources could shift support before voters narrow the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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