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icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·6月23日初等協会

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·6月23日初等協会

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

グレン・アイビー 98.7%

ジョナサン・ホワイト <1%

シャボンヌ・ヘッジペス <1%

Joseph Gomes <1%

Polymarket

$20,018 Vol.

グレン・アイビー 98.7%

ジョナサン・ホワイト <1%

シャボンヌ・ヘッジペス <1%

Joseph Gomes <1%

Polymarket

$20,018 Vol.

シャボンヌ・ヘッジペス

$769 Vol.

いいえ

グレン・アイビー

$16,223 Vol.

はい

ジョナサン・ホワイト

$1,455 Vol.

いいえ

Joseph Gomes

$700 Vol.

No

Jakeya Johnson

$871 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district Democratic primary due to his established record since winning the seat in 2022, including strong prior primary and general election margins in this solidly Democratic area. With the June 23 primary just days away, the limited field of challengers—Joseph Gomes, Shavonne Hedgepeth, Jakeya Johnson, and Jonathan White—has generated minimal visible momentum or fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and institutional support in low-profile House primaries, where upsets remain rare absent major scandals or redistricting shifts. A late surprise in turnout or an unforeseen endorsement could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,018
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district Democratic primary due to his established record since winning the seat in 2022, including strong prior primary and general election margins in this solidly Democratic area. With the June 23 primary just days away, the limited field of challengers—Joseph Gomes, Shavonne Hedgepeth, Jakeya Johnson, and Jonathan White—has generated minimal visible momentum or fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and institutional support in low-profile House primaries, where upsets remain rare absent major scandals or redistricting shifts. A late surprise in turnout or an unforeseen endorsement could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,018
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

関連

icon for ショーン・マッカンはMI-04の民主党候補者になりますか？

ショーン・マッカンはMI-04の民主党候補者になりますか？

98%
はい
icon for Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?

Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?

73%
icon for 民主党はMD-04下院議席を獲得しますか？

民主党はMD-04下院議席を獲得しますか？

94%
はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「グレン・アイビー」で100%、次いで「シャボンヌ・ヘッジペス」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner」は$20Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jun 10, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「グレン・アイビー」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「シャボンヌ・ヘッジペス」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。