Aaron Judge leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, driven by his elite power production, including a league-leading 58 home runs and 144 RBIs in 2024 that solidified his status as the AL's top offensive force. Close challengers like Bobby Witt Jr. and Cal Raleigh, both at 43.5%, reflect breakout 2024 campaigns—Witt's .332 average and 32 homers showcasing five-tool dynamism, while Raleigh's 34 catcher homers highlight rare positional value. Prospect Nick Kurtz at 42% gains from his No. 4 overall draft status and Wake Forest dominance (.353/.476/.737 slash), fueling hype for Oakland's lineup boost. Veterans Yordan Alvarez and Corey Seager hover near 42% on injury-managed slugging prowess, with Julio Rodríguez, Gunnar Henderson, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. buoyed by youth and rebound potential amid recent form surges and ZiPS projections favoring sustained OPS+ above 150. Odds capture crowd wisdom on peak-age trajectories and park factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日コーリー・シーガー 43%
ウラジミール・ゲレーロ・ジュニア 42%
ホセ・ラミレス 42%
アーロン・ジャッジ 34%
コーリー・シーガー
43%
ウラジミール・ゲレーロ・ジュニア
42%
ホセ・ラミレス
42%
アーロン・ジャッジ
34%
カル・ローリー
34%
グンナー・ヘンダーソン
33%
ニック・カーツ
32%
フリオ・ロドリゲス
31%
ヨルダン・アルバレス
31%
ボビー・ウィット・ジュニア
25%
コーリー・シーガー 43%
ウラジミール・ゲレーロ・ジュニア 42%
ホセ・ラミレス 42%
アーロン・ジャッジ 34%
コーリー・シーガー
43%
ウラジミール・ゲレーロ・ジュニア
42%
ホセ・ラミレス
42%
アーロン・ジャッジ
34%
カル・ローリー
34%
グンナー・ヘンダーソン
33%
ニック・カーツ
32%
フリオ・ロドリゲス
31%
ヨルダン・アルバレス
31%
ボビー・ウィット・ジュニア
25%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, driven by his elite power production, including a league-leading 58 home runs and 144 RBIs in 2024 that solidified his status as the AL's top offensive force. Close challengers like Bobby Witt Jr. and Cal Raleigh, both at 43.5%, reflect breakout 2024 campaigns—Witt's .332 average and 32 homers showcasing five-tool dynamism, while Raleigh's 34 catcher homers highlight rare positional value. Prospect Nick Kurtz at 42% gains from his No. 4 overall draft status and Wake Forest dominance (.353/.476/.737 slash), fueling hype for Oakland's lineup boost. Veterans Yordan Alvarez and Corey Seager hover near 42% on injury-managed slugging prowess, with Julio Rodríguez, Gunnar Henderson, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. buoyed by youth and rebound potential amid recent form surges and ZiPS projections favoring sustained OPS+ above 150. Odds capture crowd wisdom on peak-age trajectories and park factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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