Trader consensus on the NL Manager of the Year market shows razor-thin margins, with Carlos Mendoza (42.5%) narrowly leading Walt Weiss, Terry Francona, Don Kelly, Warren Schaeffer, and Blake Butera (all at 42.0%), underscoring extreme early-season uncertainty after 2026 Opening Day. Mendoza gained a slight boost from the Mets' dominant 11-7 rout of Don Kelly's Pirates, while Butera notched a debut win with the Nationals and Weiss helmed the Braves in transition from Snitker. Newcomer narratives fuel Schaeffer (Rockies turnaround), Stammen (Padres), and Vitello (Giants), challenging veterans like Roberts (Dodgers) and Counsell (Cubs). BBWAA voting patterns favor overachievers; pivotal April division races and hot starts will dictate frontrunner emergence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Carlos Mendoza 43%
Torey Lovullo 36%
Blake Butera 36%
Walt Weiss 36%
Carlos Mendoza
43%
Torey Lovullo
36%
Blake Butera
36%
Walt Weiss
36%
Don Kelly
36%
Dave Roberts
36%
Craig Counsell
36%
Warren Schaeffer
36%
Pat Murphy
36%
Rob Thomson
36%
Tony Vitello
36%
Terry Francona
35%
Clayton McCullough
35%
Craig Stammen
35%
Oliver Marmol
35%
Carlos Mendoza 43%
Torey Lovullo 36%
Blake Butera 36%
Walt Weiss 36%
Carlos Mendoza
43%
Torey Lovullo
36%
Blake Butera
36%
Walt Weiss
36%
Don Kelly
36%
Dave Roberts
36%
Craig Counsell
36%
Warren Schaeffer
36%
Pat Murphy
36%
Rob Thomson
36%
Tony Vitello
36%
Terry Francona
35%
Clayton McCullough
35%
Craig Stammen
35%
Oliver Marmol
35%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the NL Manager of the Year market shows razor-thin margins, with Carlos Mendoza (42.5%) narrowly leading Walt Weiss, Terry Francona, Don Kelly, Warren Schaeffer, and Blake Butera (all at 42.0%), underscoring extreme early-season uncertainty after 2026 Opening Day. Mendoza gained a slight boost from the Mets' dominant 11-7 rout of Don Kelly's Pirates, while Butera notched a debut win with the Nationals and Weiss helmed the Braves in transition from Snitker. Newcomer narratives fuel Schaeffer (Rockies turnaround), Stammen (Padres), and Vitello (Giants), challenging veterans like Roberts (Dodgers) and Counsell (Cubs). BBWAA voting patterns favor overachievers; pivotal April division races and hot starts will dictate frontrunner emergence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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