Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting the event's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 120 years of modern baseball, or roughly one per 10,000 games—and a nearly three-year drought since Domingo Germán's gem for the Yankees against Oakland in June 2023. No perfect games occurred in 2024 or 2025 amid rising offensive production, with league-wide batting averages hovering near .245 and home run rates elevated, pressuring pitching rotations and bullpens. Entering Opening Day with no standout aces on a historic tear or favorable weak-lineup matchups in spring training, the wisdom of crowds underscores the long odds against any starter navigating 27 flawless outs over 162 games across 30 teams.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting the event's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 120 years of modern baseball, or roughly one per 10,000 games—and a nearly three-year drought since Domingo Germán's gem for the Yankees against Oakland in June 2023. No perfect games occurred in 2024 or 2025 amid rising offensive production, with league-wide batting averages hovering near .245 and home run rates elevated, pressuring pitching rotations and bullpens. Entering Opening Day with no standout aces on a historic tear or favorable weak-lineup matchups in spring training, the wisdom of crowds underscores the long odds against any starter navigating 27 flawless outs over 162 games across 30 teams.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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