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icon for 次回のフランス大統領選挙
世界·フランスの選挙

次回のフランス大統領選挙

icon for 次回のフランス大統領選挙
世界·フランスの選挙

次回のフランス大統領選挙

マリーヌ・ル・ペン 34.4%

エドゥアール・フィリップ 28%

ジャン＝リュック・メランション 12%

ダヴィッド・リスナール 8.2%

Polymarket

$133,042,003 Vol.

マリーヌ・ル・ペン 34.4%

エドゥアール・フィリップ 28%

ジャン＝リュック・メランション 12%

ダヴィッド・リスナール 8.2%

Polymarket

$133,042,003 Vol.

icon for マリーヌ・ル・ペン

マリーヌ・ル・ペン

$2,413,561 Vol.

34%

icon for エドゥアール・フィリップ

エドゥアール・フィリップ

$1,594,737 Vol.

28%

icon for ジャン＝リュック・メランション

ジャン＝リュック・メランション

$1,435,003 Vol.

12%

icon for ダヴィッド・リスナール

ダヴィッド・リスナール

$2,126,675 Vol.

8%

icon for フランソワ・オランド

フランソワ・オランド

$1,781,022 Vol.

4%

icon for ガブリエル・アタル

ガブリエル・アタル

$2,268,801 Vol.

2%

icon for ジョルダン・バルデラ

ジョルダン・バルデラ

$2,111,360 Vol.

2%

icon for ブルーノ・ルテイエロー

ブルーノ・ルテイエロー

$2,250,789 Vol.

2%

icon for ラファエル・グリュックスマン

ラファエル・グリュックスマン

$1,727,491 Vol.

2%

icon for サラ・クナフォ

サラ・クナフォ

$2,054,456 Vol.

1%

icon for ドミニク・ド・ヴィルパン

ドミニク・ド・ヴィルパン

$1,873,413 Vol.

1%

icon for エリック・ゼムール

エリック・ゼムール

$2,313,064 Vol.

1%

icon for セバスチャン・ルコルニュ

セバスチャン・ルコルニュ

$1,675,116 Vol.

1%

icon for ローラン・ヴォキエ

ローラン・ヴォキエ

$3,683,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジェラルド・ダルマナン

ジェラルド・ダルマナン

$2,086,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for フアン・ブランコ

フアン・ブランコ

$2,260,300 Vol.

<1%

icon for クレマンス・ゲッテ

クレマンス・ゲッテ

$4,175,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for グザヴィエ・ベルトラン

グザヴィエ・ベルトラン

$5,943,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for フランソワ・リュファン

フランソワ・リュファン

$3,652,046 Vol.

<1%

icon for マリーヌ・トンドリエ

マリーヌ・トンドリエ

$4,154,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジャン・カステックス

ジャン・カステックス

$1,691,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for カリム・ブアムラネ

カリム・ブアムラネ

$863,669 Vol.

<1%

icon for ファビアン・ルッセル

ファビアン・ルッセル

$4,244,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for オリヴィエ・フォール

オリヴィエ・フォール

$5,722,928 Vol.

<1%

icon for セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル

セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル

$5,981,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for フランソワ・アスリノー

フランソワ・アスリノー

$5,755,672 Vol.

<1%

icon for クレマンティーヌ・オータン

クレマンティーヌ・オータン

$4,990,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for ニコラ・デュポン＝エニャン

ニコラ・デュポン＝エニャン

$4,731,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for ミシェル・バルニエ

ミシェル・バルニエ

$5,253,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヴァレリー・ペクレス

ヴァレリー・ペクレス

$4,066,879 Vol.

<1%

icon for フランソワ・バイルー

フランソワ・バイルー

$5,939,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for エリザベット・ボルヌ

エリザベット・ボルヌ

$5,446,132 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヤエル・ブロン＝ピヴェ

ヤエル・ブロン＝ピヴェ

$5,701,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for カロル・デルガ

カロル・デルガ

$4,742,192 Vol.

<1%

icon for ベルナール・カズヌーブ

ベルナール・カズヌーブ

$2,337,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for マニュエル・ボンパール

マニュエル・ボンパール

$4,826,241 Vol.

<1%

icon for マチルド・パノ

マチルド・パノ

$6,420,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for ルシー・カステ

ルシー・カステ

$418,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヤニック・ジャド

ヤニック・ジャド

$750,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for フランソワ・バロワン

フランソワ・バロワン

$1,136,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for マリオン・マレシャル

マリオン・マレシャル

$441,509 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French presidential race in trader pricing at 34.4 percent, reflecting National Rally's consistent first-round polling edge near 32–35 percent after her July 2026 appeal ruling reduced the prior office ban and allowed her candidacy to proceed. Édouard Philippe sits second at 27.5 percent as the strongest centrist option amid a crowded field that includes Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, and David Lisnard, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds 11.5 percent amid ongoing left-wing fragmentation and a planned Socialist primary. Recent September polls show the same pattern of a wide Le Pen lead but no settled runner-up, with vote splitting across blocs limiting any single challenger. Key upcoming catalysts include October primary results and further legal developments that could alter qualification dynamics before the April first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$133,042,003
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French presidential race in trader pricing at 34.4 percent, reflecting National Rally's consistent first-round polling edge near 32–35 percent after her July 2026 appeal ruling reduced the prior office ban and allowed her candidacy to proceed. Édouard Philippe sits second at 27.5 percent as the strongest centrist option amid a crowded field that includes Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, and David Lisnard, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds 11.5 percent amid ongoing left-wing fragmentation and a planned Socialist primary. Recent September polls show the same pattern of a wide Le Pen lead but no settled runner-up, with vote splitting across blocs limiting any single challenger. Key upcoming catalysts include October primary results and further legal developments that could alter qualification dynamics before the April first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$133,042,003
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

関連

icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

89%
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%
icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

76%

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」はPolymarket上の41+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マリーヌ・ル・ペン」で34%、次いで「エドゥアール・フィリップ」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次回のフランス大統領選挙」は$133 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」で取引するには、このページに記載されている41+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」の現在のフロントランナーは「マリーヌ・ル・ペン」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エドゥアール・フィリップ」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。