Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability on Netflix (NFLX) beating Q1 2026 earnings consensus, reflecting the streaming giant's consistent track record of EPS beats—including Q4 2025's $0.56 actual versus $0.55 expected—bolstered by explosive subscriber growth to over 325 million paid accounts and ad-tier revenue surging more than 2.5x to $1.5 billion last year. Recent U.S. price hikes are set to lift average revenue per user (ARPU), while analysts like Goldman Sachs recently upgraded NFLX to Buy, citing ad momentum and content strategy amid 14% year-over-year revenue growth forecasts. Key catalysts include the April 16 earnings release and forward guidance on 12-14% full-year 2026 top-line expansion, though paid sharing crackdowns and competition remain watchpoints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/04/16
はい
新規
新規
2026/04/16
As of market creation, Netflix Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix Inc's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.76 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix Inc reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.76 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability on Netflix (NFLX) beating Q1 2026 earnings consensus, reflecting the streaming giant's consistent track record of EPS beats—including Q4 2025's $0.56 actual versus $0.55 expected—bolstered by explosive subscriber growth to over 325 million paid accounts and ad-tier revenue surging more than 2.5x to $1.5 billion last year. Recent U.S. price hikes are set to lift average revenue per user (ARPU), while analysts like Goldman Sachs recently upgraded NFLX to Buy, citing ad momentum and content strategy amid 14% year-over-year revenue growth forecasts. Key catalysts include the April 16 earnings release and forward guidance on 12-14% full-year 2026 top-line expansion, though paid sharing crackdowns and competition remain watchpoints.
As of market creation, Netflix Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix Inc's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.76 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix Inc reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.76 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
音量
$1,925終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Netflix Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix Inc's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.76 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix Inc reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.76 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability on Netflix (NFLX) beating Q1 2026 earnings consensus, reflecting the streaming giant's consistent track record of EPS beats—including Q4 2025's $0.56 actual versus $0.55 expected—bolstered by explosive subscriber growth to over 325 million paid accounts and ad-tier revenue surging more than 2.5x to $1.5 billion last year. Recent U.S. price hikes are set to lift average revenue per user (ARPU), while analysts like Goldman Sachs recently upgraded NFLX to Buy, citing ad momentum and content strategy amid 14% year-over-year revenue growth forecasts. Key catalysts include the April 16 earnings release and forward guidance on 12-14% full-year 2026 top-line expansion, though paid sharing crackdowns and competition remain watchpoints.
As of market creation, Netflix Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix Inc's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.76 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix Inc reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.76 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
音量
$1,925終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability on Netflix (NFLX) beating Q1 2026 earnings consensus, reflecting the streaming giant's consistent track record of EPS beats—including Q4 2025's $0.56 actual versus $0.55 expected—bolstered by explosive subscriber growth to over 325 million paid accounts and ad-tier revenue surging more than 2.5x to $1.5 billion last year. Recent U.S. price hikes are set to lift average revenue per user (ARPU), while analysts like Goldman Sachs recently upgraded NFLX to Buy, citing ad momentum and content strategy amid 14% year-over-year revenue growth forecasts. Key catalysts include the April 16 earnings release and forward guidance on 12-14% full-year 2026 top-line expansion, though paid sharing crackdowns and competition remain watchpoints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問