Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation targeting him and his wife Cilia Flores on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges. He and Flores entered not guilty pleas at their January arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, with subsequent hearings delayed into 2026 and no trial date set. Trader focus centers on potential diplomatic resolutions tied to Venezuela’s post-capture transition, including U.S.-backed talks between the acting government under Delcy Rodríguez and opposition figures that resumed in August 2026, alongside broader U.S. policy priorities such as oil sector access, political prisoner releases, and stabilization efforts. Any release would likely require court approval, plea negotiations, or a high-level agreement addressing remaining U.S. indictments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,688,795 Vol.
2026/01/30
12月31日
7%
$2,688,795 Vol.
12月31日
$293,346 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation targeting him and his wife Cilia Flores on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges. He and Flores entered not guilty pleas at their January arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, with subsequent hearings delayed into 2026 and no trial date set. Trader focus centers on potential diplomatic resolutions tied to Venezuela’s post-capture transition, including U.S.-backed talks between the acting government under Delcy Rodríguez and opposition figures that resumed in August 2026, alongside broader U.S. policy priorities such as oil sector access, political prisoner releases, and stabilization efforts. Any release would likely require court approval, plea negotiations, or a high-level agreement addressing remaining U.S. indictments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
音量
$2,688,795終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation targeting him and his wife Cilia Flores on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges. He and Flores entered not guilty pleas at their January arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, with subsequent hearings delayed into 2026 and no trial date set. Trader focus centers on potential diplomatic resolutions tied to Venezuela’s post-capture transition, including U.S.-backed talks between the acting government under Delcy Rodríguez and opposition figures that resumed in August 2026, alongside broader U.S. policy priorities such as oil sector access, political prisoner releases, and stabilization efforts. Any release would likely require court approval, plea negotiations, or a high-level agreement addressing remaining U.S. indictments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,688,795終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation targeting him and his wife Cilia Flores on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges. He and Flores entered not guilty pleas at their January arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, with subsequent hearings delayed into 2026 and no trial date set. Trader focus centers on potential diplomatic resolutions tied to Venezuela’s post-capture transition, including U.S.-backed talks between the acting government under Delcy Rodríguez and opposition figures that resumed in August 2026, alongside broader U.S. policy priorities such as oil sector access, political prisoner releases, and stabilization efforts. Any release would likely require court approval, plea negotiations, or a high-level agreement addressing remaining U.S. indictments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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