Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" first-week album equivalent units, with even 50% implied probabilities across ranges from 125k-250k due to the absence of public HITS Daily Double trackers just 17 days pre-release on April 24. Strong momentum from the title track's #6 Hot 100 debut, #1 on Hot Rock & Alternative Songs, and over 90 million Spotify streams—bolstered by second single "Porch Light"—plus 1 million+ pre-saves and a sold-out stadium tour moving 1M+ tickets, fuels optimism for 150k-200k territory. However, alt-folk genre constraints and unknown April competition keep lower buckets viable; watch Netflix documentary premiere April 13 and early tracking for swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?
Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?
225k-250k 45%
200k-225k 43%
175k-200k 42%
125k-150k 41%
新規
新規
2026/05/01
<125k
41%
125k-150k
41%
150k-175k
40%
175k-200k
42%
200k-225k
43%
225k-250k
45%
250k+
41%
225k-250k 45%
200k-225k 43%
175k-200k 42%
125k-150k 41%
新規
新規
2026/05/01
<125k
$0 Vol.
41%
125k-150k
$0 Vol.
41%
150k-175k
$0 Vol.
40%
175k-200k
$0 Vol.
42%
200k-225k
$0 Vol.
43%
225k-250k
$0 Vol.
45%
250k+
$0 Vol.
41%
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" first-week album equivalent units, with even 50% implied probabilities across ranges from 125k-250k due to the absence of public HITS Daily Double trackers just 17 days pre-release on April 24. Strong momentum from the title track's #6 Hot 100 debut, #1 on Hot Rock & Alternative Songs, and over 90 million Spotify streams—bolstered by second single "Porch Light"—plus 1 million+ pre-saves and a sold-out stadium tour moving 1M+ tickets, fuels optimism for 150k-200k territory. However, alt-folk genre constraints and unknown April competition keep lower buckets viable; watch Netflix documentary premiere April 13 and early tracking for swings.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" first-week album equivalent units, with even 50% implied probabilities across ranges from 125k-250k due to the absence of public HITS Daily Double trackers just 17 days pre-release on April 24. Strong momentum from the title track's #6 Hot 100 debut, #1 on Hot Rock & Alternative Songs, and over 90 million Spotify streams—bolstered by second single "Porch Light"—plus 1 million+ pre-saves and a sold-out stadium tour moving 1M+ tickets, fuels optimism for 150k-200k territory. However, alt-folk genre constraints and unknown April competition keep lower buckets viable; watch Netflix documentary premiere April 13 and early tracking for swings.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$0終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" first-week album equivalent units, with even 50% implied probabilities across ranges from 125k-250k due to the absence of public HITS Daily Double trackers just 17 days pre-release on April 24. Strong momentum from the title track's #6 Hot 100 debut, #1 on Hot Rock & Alternative Songs, and over 90 million Spotify streams—bolstered by second single "Porch Light"—plus 1 million+ pre-saves and a sold-out stadium tour moving 1M+ tickets, fuels optimism for 150k-200k territory. However, alt-folk genre constraints and unknown April competition keep lower buckets viable; watch Netflix documentary premiere April 13 and early tracking for swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問