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NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

David Flippo 85%

James Settelmeyer 5%

Rick Shepherd 1.4%

Bill Conrad 1.1%

Polymarket
新規

David Flippo 85%

James Settelmeyer 5%

Rick Shepherd 1.4%

Bill Conrad 1.1%

Polymarket
新規

David Flippo

$559 Vol.

85%

James Settelmeyer

$431 Vol.

5%

Rick Shepherd

$184 Vol.

1%

Bill Conrad

$209 Vol.

1%

Jennifer Billat

$187 Vol.

1%

Fred Simon

$194 Vol.

1%

Bruce Grego

$163 Vol.

1%

Mike Smith

$512 Vol.

1%

George Forbush

$157 Vol.

1%

Doug Miller

$186 Vol.

1%

Jerry Olsen

$187 Vol.

1%

Jesse Watts

$172 Vol.

1%

Sherman Tylawsky

$157 Vol.

1%

Tom Doyle

$657 Vol.

1%

Andrea Lowe

$361 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.President Donald Trump's May 29 endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as an "America First Patriot" has sharply shifted trader consensus in the Nevada 2nd Congressional District Republican primary, positioning Flippo as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June 9 vote. The open seat, created by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei's February announcement, features a crowded 13-candidate field where Flippo has emphasized strong alignment with Trump-aligned positions. Former state Sen. James Settelmeyer retains backing from Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei but trails significantly in implied probability. The district's Republican lean and the primary's short timeline limit opportunities for other candidates to close gaps, with market pricing reflecting these recent developments and the frontrunners' established profiles.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$4,316
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.President Donald Trump's May 29 endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as an "America First Patriot" has sharply shifted trader consensus in the Nevada 2nd Congressional District Republican primary, positioning Flippo as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June 9 vote. The open seat, created by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei's February announcement, features a crowded 13-candidate field where Flippo has emphasized strong alignment with Trump-aligned positions. Former state Sen. James Settelmeyer retains backing from Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei but trails significantly in implied probability. The district's Republican lean and the primary's short timeline limit opportunities for other candidates to close gaps, with market pricing reflecting these recent developments and the frontrunners' established profiles.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$4,316
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「NV-02 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「David Flippo」で85%、次いで「James Settelmeyer」が6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NV-02 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 25, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NV-02 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NV-02 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「David Flippo」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「James Settelmeyer」で6%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NV-02 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。