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政治·ハウス・プライマリー

NV -03共和党予備選

icon for NV -03共和党予備選
政治·ハウス・プライマリー

NV -03共和党予備選

Martin O'Donnell 90%

Tera Anderson 4.0%

Aury Nagy 1.7%

Jeff Gunter 1.6%

Polymarket
新規

Martin O'Donnell 90%

Tera Anderson 4.0%

Aury Nagy 1.7%

Jeff Gunter 1.6%

Polymarket
新規

Martin O'Donnell

$1,177 Vol.

90%

Tera Anderson

$434 Vol.

4%

Aury Nagy

$391 Vol.

2%

Jeff Gunter

$609 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Martin O'Donnell's commanding position in the Nevada 3rd District Republican primary stems primarily from Donald Trump's April 2026 endorsement, which consolidated support among party voters ahead of the June 9 vote. The candidate's substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $3 million raised with significant cash reserves, has enabled broader outreach compared to challengers Tera Anderson, Aury Nagy, and Jeff Gunter. O'Donnell's prior campaign experience in the district and name recognition further bolster his standing, even after a weaker 2024 showing. The other contenders emphasize distinct priorities such as foreign policy and healthcare but lack comparable institutional backing or resources, leaving the race with limited late momentum shifts in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$2,611
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Martin O'Donnell's commanding position in the Nevada 3rd District Republican primary stems primarily from Donald Trump's April 2026 endorsement, which consolidated support among party voters ahead of the June 9 vote. The candidate's substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $3 million raised with significant cash reserves, has enabled broader outreach compared to challengers Tera Anderson, Aury Nagy, and Jeff Gunter. O'Donnell's prior campaign experience in the district and name recognition further bolster his standing, even after a weaker 2024 showing. The other contenders emphasize distinct priorities such as foreign policy and healthcare but lack comparable institutional backing or resources, leaving the race with limited late momentum shifts in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$2,611
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NV -03共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Martin O'Donnell」で90%、次いで「Tera Anderson」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、90¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に90%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NV -03共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 25, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NV -03共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NV -03共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「Martin O'Donnell」で90%であり、市場がこの結果に90%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Tera Anderson」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NV -03共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。