Manchester City's Champions League round of 16 exit to Real Madrid on aggregate last week, marked by a 5-1 defeat including Bernardo Silva's red card, has intensified speculation over Pep Guardiola's long-term future despite his contract running until summer 2027. Trailing Arsenal by nine points in the Premier League table after 30 matches but with a game in hand, City remain in the title race, bolstered by a recent 2-0 Carabao Cup final win over Arsenal via Nico O'Reilly's brace—their ninth League Cup trophy. Trader consensus at 51.5% Yes reflects this competitive balance, weighing Guardiola's decade-long tenure, hints of fatigue, and positive post-exit statements like "the future is bright" against ongoing reports of an imminent summer decision. A strong Premier League finish could secure renewal, while missing top spot or further collapses might prompt departure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Jan 1, 2027
NEW
NEW
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.
An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Manchester City's Champions League round of 16 exit to Real Madrid on aggregate last week, marked by a 5-1 defeat including Bernardo Silva's red card, has intensified speculation over Pep Guardiola's long-term future despite his contract running until summer 2027. Trailing Arsenal by nine points in the Premier League table after 30 matches but with a game in hand, City remain in the title race, bolstered by a recent 2-0 Carabao Cup final win over Arsenal via Nico O'Reilly's brace—their ninth League Cup trophy. Trader consensus at 51.5% Yes reflects this competitive balance, weighing Guardiola's decade-long tenure, hints of fatigue, and positive post-exit statements like "the future is bright" against ongoing reports of an imminent summer decision. A strong Premier League finish could secure renewal, while missing top spot or further collapses might prompt departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.
An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.
An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
音量
$2,268終了日
Jan 1, 2027マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.
An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Manchester City's Champions League round of 16 exit to Real Madrid on aggregate last week, marked by a 5-1 defeat including Bernardo Silva's red card, has intensified speculation over Pep Guardiola's long-term future despite his contract running until summer 2027. Trailing Arsenal by nine points in the Premier League table after 30 matches but with a game in hand, City remain in the title race, bolstered by a recent 2-0 Carabao Cup final win over Arsenal via Nico O'Reilly's brace—their ninth League Cup trophy. Trader consensus at 51.5% Yes reflects this competitive balance, weighing Guardiola's decade-long tenure, hints of fatigue, and positive post-exit statements like "the future is bright" against ongoing reports of an imminent summer decision. A strong Premier League finish could secure renewal, while missing top spot or further collapses might prompt departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.
An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.
An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,268終了日
Jan 1, 2027マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Manchester City's Champions League round of 16 exit to Real Madrid on aggregate last week, marked by a 5-1 defeat including Bernardo Silva's red card, has intensified speculation over Pep Guardiola's long-term future despite his contract running until summer 2027. Trailing Arsenal by nine points in the Premier League table after 30 matches but with a game in hand, City remain in the title race, bolstered by a recent 2-0 Carabao Cup final win over Arsenal via Nico O'Reilly's brace—their ninth League Cup trophy. Trader consensus at 51.5% Yes reflects this competitive balance, weighing Guardiola's decade-long tenure, hints of fatigue, and positive post-exit statements like "the future is bright" against ongoing reports of an imminent summer decision. A strong Premier League finish could secure renewal, while missing top spot or further collapses might prompt departure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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