With just over 60mm of cumulative rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through mid-April—driven largely by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders anticipate totals clustering in the 130-150mm range, aligning with historical April averages around 150mm and the rainy season's onset. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal forecast signals normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, fueled by increasing thunderstorms and potential squall lines, yet subdued showers since early April have kept the race tight between 130-140mm and 140-150mm outcomes. Separation could arise from heavy convective events or an early tropical cyclone adding 50mm+ in the final two weeks, or extended dry spells pushing below 130mm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月の香港の降水量は?
4月の香港の降水量は?
130〜140mm 28%
140〜150mm 27%
130mm未満 23%
150〜160mm 20%
$28,649 Vol.
$28,649 Vol.
130mm未満
23%
130〜140mm
28%
140〜150mm
27%
150〜160mm
20%
160〜170mm
4%
190〜200mm
2%
180~190
3%
190mm以上
14%
130〜140mm 28%
140〜150mm 27%
130mm未満 23%
150〜160mm 20%
$28,649 Vol.
$28,649 Vol.
130mm未満
23%
130〜140mm
28%
140〜150mm
27%
150〜160mm
20%
160〜170mm
4%
190〜200mm
2%
180~190
3%
190mm以上
14%
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With just over 60mm of cumulative rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through mid-April—driven largely by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders anticipate totals clustering in the 130-150mm range, aligning with historical April averages around 150mm and the rainy season's onset. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal forecast signals normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, fueled by increasing thunderstorms and potential squall lines, yet subdued showers since early April have kept the race tight between 130-140mm and 140-150mm outcomes. Separation could arise from heavy convective events or an early tropical cyclone adding 50mm+ in the final two weeks, or extended dry spells pushing below 130mm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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