Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low precipitation accumulation in Seoul through mid-April 2026—far below the climatological April average of 65–80mm—driving trader consensus toward <40mm at 52.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridges over the Korean Peninsula have blocked moisture advection from the East Sea and suppressed frontal passages, yielding near-zero daily rainfall in recent days amid mild temperatures and stable atmospheric conditions. KMA forecast models show consensus for minimal additional rain through April 30, with low probabilities for convective showers or systems. However, inherent uncertainty in spring weather patterns persists, as late-month low-pressure developments could elevate totals; monitor daily KMA updates for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月のソウルの降水量は?
4月のソウルの降水量は?
40mm未満 59%
65〜70mm 15%
75mm以上 12%
55〜60mm 8%
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
40mm未満
53%
40〜45mm
11%
45〜50mm
7%
50〜55mm
10%
55〜60mm
8%
60〜65mm
5%
65〜70mm
15%
70〜75mm
2%
75mm以上
12%
40mm未満 59%
65〜70mm 15%
75mm以上 12%
55〜60mm 8%
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
40mm未満
53%
40〜45mm
11%
45〜50mm
7%
50〜55mm
10%
55〜60mm
8%
60〜65mm
5%
65〜70mm
15%
70〜75mm
2%
75mm以上
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low precipitation accumulation in Seoul through mid-April 2026—far below the climatological April average of 65–80mm—driving trader consensus toward <40mm at 52.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridges over the Korean Peninsula have blocked moisture advection from the East Sea and suppressed frontal passages, yielding near-zero daily rainfall in recent days amid mild temperatures and stable atmospheric conditions. KMA forecast models show consensus for minimal additional rain through April 30, with low probabilities for convective showers or systems. However, inherent uncertainty in spring weather patterns persists, as late-month low-pressure developments could elevate totals; monitor daily KMA updates for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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